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小儿埃布斯坦畸形:临床表现如何预测死亡率。

Paediatric Ebstein's anomaly: how clinical presentation predicts mortality.

机构信息

Department of Paediatric Cardiology, Amalia Children's Hospital, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

Department of Paediatric Cardiology and Critical Care, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.

出版信息

Arch Dis Child. 2018 Sep;103(9):859-863. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2017-313482. Epub 2018 Mar 22.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Forecasting the prognosis of a child when diagnosed with Ebstein's anomaly is difficult. We, therefore, studied which factors at the time of diagnosis are associated with death during childhood.

METHODS

All consecutive patients (0-18 years) diagnosed with Ebstein's anomaly in the Netherlands between 1980 and 2014 were included. Survival curves were obtained using the Kaplan-Meier method. By using the Cox proportional hazard model, we analysed the factors (at diagnosis) that were associated with death.

RESULTS

We included 176 patients. Thirty-one patients (18%) died before the age of 18 years. The 1-year survival was 84% and remained stable at 82% from 35 months after diagnosis and onwards. Modified Ross Heart Failure Class 4 at the time of diagnosis was the most important risk factor for death during childhood (HR 12.5, 95% CI 4.4 to 35.9). Furthermore, diagnosis in the neonatal period (HR 4.2, 95% CI 1.5 to 12.0), severe tricuspid valve regurgitation (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2 to 5.0), severe right ventricular outflow tract obstruction (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.8 to 7.7) and a patent ductus arteriosus (HR 2.8, 95% CI 1.3 to 6.0) at the time of diagnosis were univariately associated with death. Multivariable analysis showed that presentation with Heart Failure Class 4 and a ventricular septal defect is the strongest predictor of death in childhood and adolescence.

CONCLUSION

Patients with Ebstein's anomaly presenting with Heart Failure Class 4 and a ventricular septal defect have a high risk of death during childhood.

摘要

背景

预测诊断为埃布斯坦畸形的儿童预后较为困难。因此,我们研究了在诊断时哪些因素与儿童期死亡相关。

方法

纳入 1980 年至 2014 年间荷兰连续诊断为埃布斯坦畸形的所有患者(0-18 岁)。使用 Kaplan-Meier 法获得生存曲线。使用 Cox 比例风险模型分析与死亡相关的(诊断时的)因素。

结果

共纳入 176 例患者。31 例(18%)患者在 18 岁之前死亡。1 年生存率为 84%,自诊断后 35 个月起稳定在 82%。诊断时改良的罗斯心力衰竭分级 4 是儿童期死亡的最重要危险因素(HR 12.5,95%CI 4.4 至 35.9)。此外,新生儿期诊断(HR 4.2,95%CI 1.5 至 12.0)、严重三尖瓣反流(HR 2.4,95%CI 1.2 至 5.0)、严重右心室流出道梗阻(HR 3.7,95%CI 1.8 至 7.7)和动脉导管未闭(HR 2.8,95%CI 1.3 至 6.0)与死亡相关。多变量分析显示心力衰竭分级 4 合并室间隔缺损是儿童和青少年期死亡的最强预测因素。

结论

埃布斯坦畸形患儿表现为心力衰竭分级 4 合并室间隔缺损时,在儿童期死亡风险较高。

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