Civil and Structural Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600, Bangi, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia.
Institute of Climate Change (IPI), Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43600, Bangi, Malaysia.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 May;25(14):13446-13469. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-1867-8. Epub 2018 Apr 3.
Efficacious operation for dam and reservoir system could guarantee not only a defenselessness policy against natural hazard but also identify rule to meet the water demand. Successful operation of dam and reservoir systems to ensure optimal use of water resources could be unattainable without accurate and reliable simulation models. According to the highly stochastic nature of hydrologic parameters, developing accurate predictive model that efficiently mimic such a complex pattern is an increasing domain of research. During the last two decades, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been significantly utilized for attaining a robust modeling to handle different stochastic hydrological parameters. AI techniques have also shown considerable progress in finding optimal rules for reservoir operation. This review research explores the history of developing AI in reservoir inflow forecasting and prediction of evaporation from a reservoir as the major components of the reservoir simulation. In addition, critical assessment of the advantages and disadvantages of integrated AI simulation methods with optimization methods has been reported. Future research on the potential of utilizing new innovative methods based AI techniques for reservoir simulation and optimization models have also been discussed. Finally, proposal for the new mathematical procedure to accomplish the realistic evaluation of the whole optimization model performance (reliability, resilience, and vulnerability indices) has been recommended.
有效的大坝和水库系统运行不仅可以保证针对自然灾害的无防御政策,还可以确定满足用水需求的规则。如果没有准确可靠的模拟模型,大坝和水库系统的成功运行以确保水资源的最佳利用将是无法实现的。由于水文参数具有高度的随机性,因此开发能够有效模拟这种复杂模式的精确预测模型是一个日益增长的研究领域。在过去的二十年中,人工智能 (AI) 技术已被广泛用于实现稳健的建模,以处理不同的随机水文参数。人工智能技术在寻找水库运行的最佳规则方面也取得了相当大的进展。本研究回顾了在水库入流预测和水库蒸发预测中开发人工智能的历史,这是水库模拟的主要组成部分。此外,还报告了综合人工智能模拟方法与优化方法的优缺点的重要评估。还讨论了基于人工智能技术的新创新方法在水库模拟和优化模型中的应用潜力。最后,建议采用新的数学程序来完成整个优化模型性能(可靠性、弹性和脆弱性指标)的实际评估。