Hettle Robert, Harty Gerard, Wong Schiffon L
a Parexel Access Consulting, Parexel International , Uxbridge , UK.
b MERCK , Feltham , UK.
J Med Econ. 2018 Jul;21(7):676-686. doi: 10.1080/13696998.2018.1461630. Epub 2018 Apr 16.
Cladribine tablets were the first oral short-course treatment approved for highly active relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). The Association of British Neurologists guidelines currently recommend two infusion therapies, alemtuzumab and natalizumab, to treat high disease activity relapsing remitting MS (HDA-RRMS). This analysis assessed the cost-effectiveness of cladribine tablets in HDA-RRMS compared with alemtuzumab and natalizumab, from the perspective of the National Health Service (NHS) in England.
A cohort-based Markov model with 11 health states (10 Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] plus death) was developed. Transition matrices from the British Columbia registry were used to model the natural history of EDSS. The treatment effect on EDSS was modelled using hazard ratios for 6-month confirmed disability progression from an indirect treatment comparison (ITC). Relapses and drug-related adverse events were modeled via annualized relapse rates and event probabilities, with associated costs and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) losses. Utilities were derived from trials and the literature, and costs from NHS and literature sources. Uncertainty was assessed via probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses.
Cladribine tablets were dominant (i.e., less costly and more effective) vs alemtuzumab and natalizumab in pairwise comparisons, and the dominant strategy in fully incremental analyses. Incremental cost was driven largely by drug acquisition and administration costs, and incremental QALY gain largely by differences in delayed EDSS progression. Cladribine tablets had a 93% probability of being cost-effective at a threshold of GBP 30,000 per QALY gained, and remained dominant across the scenario analyses tested. The greatest influence on results was the treatment effect on disability progression derived from the ITC.
Uncertainty over the efficacy of DMT beyond trial durations. In line with other comparative effectiveness analyses, the network meta-analysis informing this cost-effectiveness analysis was associated with a degree of uncertainty. No treatment switching analyses were undertaken.
Cladribine tablets are a cost-effective alternative to alemtuzumab and natalizumab in the treatment of HDA-RRMS from the perspective of the NHS in England.
克拉屈滨片是首个被批准用于高度活动性复发型多发性硬化症(MS)的口服短期治疗药物。英国神经科医生协会指南目前推荐两种输注疗法,即阿仑单抗和那他珠单抗,用于治疗高疾病活动性复发缓解型多发性硬化症(HDA-RRMS)。本分析从英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)的角度评估了克拉屈滨片与阿仑单抗和那他珠单抗相比在HDA-RRMS中的成本效益。
建立了一个基于队列的马尔可夫模型,包含11种健康状态(10种扩展残疾状态量表[EDSS]加上死亡)。使用来自不列颠哥伦比亚登记处的转移矩阵对EDSS的自然病程进行建模。使用间接治疗比较(ITC)中6个月确诊残疾进展的风险比来模拟治疗对EDSS的影响。复发和药物相关不良事件通过年化复发率和事件概率进行建模,并伴有相关成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)损失。效用值来自试验和文献,成本来自NHS和文献来源。通过概率和确定性敏感性分析评估不确定性。
在两两比较中,克拉屈滨片相对于阿仑单抗和那他珠单抗具有优势(即成本更低且效果更佳),并且在完全增量分析中是优势策略。增量成本主要由药物采购和给药成本驱动,增量QALY增益主要由延迟的EDSS进展差异驱动。在每获得一个QALY的阈值为30,000英镑时,克拉屈滨片具有成本效益的概率为93%,并且在测试的情景分析中始终保持优势。对结果影响最大的是来自ITC的治疗对残疾进展的影响。
超过试验持续时间的疾病修饰疗法(DMT)疗效存在不确定性。与其他比较疗效分析一致,为该成本效益分析提供信息的网络荟萃分析存在一定程度的不确定性。未进行治疗转换分析。
从英国NHS的角度来看