Matthews Elizabeth A, Magid-Bernstein Jessica, Sobczak Evie, Velazquez Angela, Falo Cristina Maria, Park Soojin, Claassen Jan, Agarwal Sachin
Department of Neurology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Neurohospitalist. 2018 Apr;8(2):66-73. doi: 10.1177/1941874417733217. Epub 2017 Oct 29.
Current prognostication guidelines for cardiac arrest (CA) survivors predate the use of therapeutic hypothermia (TH). The prognostic value and ideal timing of the neurological examination remain unknown in the setting of TH.
Patients (N = 291) admitted between 2007 and 2015 to Columbia University intensive care units for TH following CA had neurological examinations performed on days 1, 3, 5, and 7 postarrest. Absent pupillary light response (PLR), absent corneal reflexes (CRs), and Glasgow coma scores motor (GCS-M) no better than extension were considered poor examinations. Poor outcome was recorded as cerebral performance category score ≥3 at discharge and 1 year. Predictive values of examination maneuvers were calculated for each time point.
Among the 137 survivors to day 7, sensitivities and negative predictive values were low at all time points. The PLR had false positive rates (FPRs) of 0% and positive predictive values (PPV) of 100% from day 3 onward. For the CR and GCS-M, the FPRs decreased from day 3 to 5 (9% vs 3%; 21% vs 9%), while PPVs increased (91% vs 96%; 90% vs 95%). Excluding patients who died due to withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy (WLST) did not significantly affect FPRs or PPVs, nor did assessing outcome at 1 year.
A poor neurological examination remains a strong predictor of poor outcome, both at hospital discharge and at 1 year, independent of WLST. Following TH, the predictive value of the examination is insufficient at day 3 and should be delayed until at least day 5, with some additional benefit beyond day 5.
目前针对心脏骤停(CA)幸存者的预后评估指南早于治疗性低温(TH)的应用。在TH治疗背景下,神经学检查的预后价值及理想时机仍不明确。
2007年至2015年间因CA后接受TH治疗而入住哥伦比亚大学重症监护病房的患者(N = 291)在心脏骤停后第1、3、5和7天进行了神经学检查。瞳孔对光反射(PLR)消失、角膜反射(CR)消失以及格拉斯哥昏迷量表运动评分(GCS-M)不超过伸展反应被视为不良检查结果。不良预后记录为出院时和1年后的脑功能分类评分≥3。计算每个时间点检查操作的预测值。
在第7天存活的137名患者中,所有时间点的敏感性和阴性预测值均较低。从第3天起,PLR的假阳性率(FPR)为0%,阳性预测值(PPV)为100%。对于CR和GCS-M,FPR从第3天到第5天下降(9%对3%;21%对9%),而PPV增加(91%对96%;90%对95%)。排除因撤掉维持生命治疗(WLST)而死亡的患者对FPR或PPV没有显著影响,评估1年时的预后也是如此。
不良的神经学检查结果仍然是出院时和1年后不良预后的有力预测指标,与WLST无关。在接受TH治疗后,第3天检查的预测价值不足,应至少推迟到第5天,第5天后还有一些额外益处。