Kaiser Micha, Reutter Mirjam, Sousa-Poza Alfonso, Strohmaier Kristina
University of Hohenheim, Institute for Health Care and Public Management, Stuttgart, Germany.
University of Hohenheim, Department of Economics, Econometrics and Empirical Economics, Stuttgart, Germany.
Econ Hum Biol. 2018 May;29:138-147. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2018.02.004. Epub 2018 Mar 1.
In this paper, we use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to investigate the effect of macro-economic conditions (in the form of local unemployment rates) on smoking behavior. The results from our panel data models, several of which control for selection bias, indicate that the propensity to become a smoker increases significantly during an economic downturn, with an approximately 0.7 percentage point increase for each percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Conversely, conditional on the individual being a smoker, cigarette consumption decreases with rising unemployment rates, with a one percentage point increase in the regional unemployment rate leading to a decrease in consumption up to 0.8 percent.
在本文中，我们使用德国社会经济面板数据来研究宏观经济状况（以当地失业率的形式）对吸烟行为的影响。我们的面板数据模型结果（其中几个模型控制了选择偏差）表明，在经济衰退期间成为吸烟者的倾向显著增加，失业率每上升一个百分点，这一倾向大约增加0.7个百分点。相反，在个体为吸烟者的条件下，香烟消费量随着失业率上升而减少，地区失业率每上升一个百分点，消费量下降幅度高达0.8%。
