1 Department of Radiology, Michigan Medicine, 1500 E Medical Center Dr, B2-A209P, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.
2 Michigan Radiology Quality Collaborative, Ann Arbor, MI.
AJR Am J Roentgenol. 2018 Jun;210(6):1292-1300. doi: 10.2214/AJR.17.19163. Epub 2018 Apr 18.
The purpose of this study was to determine whether individual radiologists are predictive of important relevant health outcomes among emergency department (ED) patients undergoing abdominopelvic CT for right lower quadrant pain.
This single-institution retrospective cohort study included 2169 patients undergoing abdominopelvic CT for right lower quadrant pain in the ED from February 1, 2012, through August 31, 2016. CT examinations were interpreted by 15 radiologists (four emergency, 11 abdominal) who each reported on more than 70 CT examinations in the cohort. After risk adjustment for covariates thought to influence outcome, including baseline risk (demographics, 30 Elixhauser comorbidities, number of previous ED visits), clinical factors (vital signs, triage and pain scores, laboratory data), and system factors (time of CT, resident involvement, attending physician experience), multivariable models were built to analyze the effect of individual radiologists on four important health outcomes: hospital admission (primary outcome), readmission within 30 days, abdominal surgery, and image-guided percutaneous aspiration or drainage.
Radiologists had a mean experience of 14 years (range, 2-36 years) and read a mean of 145 CT examinations in the study cohort (range, 73-253 examinations). Unadjusted event rates across the 15 radiologists were 38-55% (admission), 11-21% (readmission), 10-26% (surgery), and 0-3% (aspiration or drainage). After risk adjustment, individual radiologists were not a significant multivariable predictor of hospital admission, readmission within 30 days, abdominal surgery, or image-guided abdominal percutaneous aspiration or drainage (all p > 0.05).
Individual radiologists were indistinguishable both within group and between group by emergency and abdominal specialization for the prediction of major patient outcomes after abdominopelvic CT performed for right lower quadrant pain in the ED.
本研究旨在确定在急诊科(ED)因右下腹痛行腹盆腔 CT 检查的患者中,个体放射科医生是否能预测重要的相关健康结局。
这项单机构回顾性队列研究纳入了 2012 年 2 月 1 日至 2016 年 8 月 31 日期间在 ED 因右下腹痛行腹盆腔 CT 检查的 2169 例患者。CT 检查由 15 名放射科医生(4 名急诊放射科医生,11 名腹部放射科医生)进行解读,每位医生在该队列中报告了超过 70 次 CT 检查。在对可能影响结局的协变量进行风险调整后(包括基线风险(人口统计学,30 项 Elixhauser 合并症,之前 ED 就诊次数)、临床因素(生命体征,分诊和疼痛评分,实验室数据)和系统因素(CT 时间、住院医师参与度、主治医生经验)后,建立多变量模型分析个体放射科医生对 4 个重要健康结局的影响:住院(主要结局)、30 天内再入院、腹部手术以及影像学引导的经皮抽吸或引流。
放射科医生的平均经验为 14 年(范围,2-36 年),在研究队列中平均阅读了 145 次 CT 检查(范围,73-253 次)。15 名放射科医生中未经调整的事件发生率为 38-55%(住院)、11-21%(30 天内再入院)、10-26%(手术)和 0-3%(抽吸或引流)。在风险调整后,个体放射科医生对住院、30 天内再入院、腹部手术或影像学引导的经皮腹部抽吸或引流均不是重要的多变量预测因素(均 p > 0.05)。
在急诊科因右下腹痛行腹盆腔 CT 检查的患者中,个体放射科医生在预测主要患者结局方面,无论是在组内还是组间,与紧急情况和腹部专业化均无明显差异。