Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Glob Chang Biol. 2018 Sep;24(9):3969-3975. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14288. Epub 2018 May 16.
Under current global warming, high-elevation regions are expected to experience faster warming than low-elevation regions. However, due to the lack of studies based on long-term large-scale data, the relationship between tree spring phenology and the elevation-dependent warming is unclear. Using 652k records of leaf unfolding of five temperate tree species monitored during 1951-2013 in situ in Europe, we discovered a nonlinear trend in the altitudinal sensitivity (S , shifted days per 100 m in altitude) in spring phenology. A delayed leaf unfolding (2.7 ± 0.6 days per decade) was observed at high elevations possibly due to decreased spring forcing between 1951 and 1980. The delayed leaf unfolding at high-elevation regions was companied by a simultaneous advancing of leaf unfolding at low elevations. These divergent trends contributed to a significant increase in the S (0.36 ± 0.07 days 100/m per decade) during 1951-1980. Since 1980, the S started to decline with a rate of -0.32 ± 0.07 days 100/m per decade, possibly due to reduced chilling at low elevations and improved efficiency of spring forcing in advancing the leaf unfolding at high elevations, the latter being caused by increased chilling. Our results suggest that due to both different temperature changes at the different altitudes, and the different tree responses to these changes, the tree phenology has shifted at different rates leading to a more uniform phenology at different altitudes during recent decades.
在当前的全球变暖背景下,高海拔地区预计将比低海拔地区经历更快的升温。然而,由于缺乏基于长期大规模数据的研究,树木春季物候与海拔相关升温之间的关系尚不清楚。利用欧洲 1951-2013 年期间原位监测的五种温带树种的 652k 个叶片展开记录,我们发现春季物候的海拔敏感性(S,每升高 100 米的天数变化)存在非线性趋势。在高海拔地区观察到叶片展开的延迟(每十年 2.7±0.6 天),这可能是由于 1951 年至 1980 年期间春季驱动力的减少。高海拔地区叶片展开的延迟伴随着低海拔地区叶片展开的同时推进。这些不同的趋势导致了 1951-1980 年间 S 值的显著增加(每十年 0.36±0.07 天 100/m)。自 1980 年以来,S 值开始以每十年-0.32±0.07 天 100/m 的速度下降,这可能是由于低海拔地区冷却减少和高海拔地区春季驱动力提高,从而推进叶片展开的效率提高所致,而后者是由于冷却增加所致。我们的研究结果表明,由于不同海拔的温度变化不同,以及树木对这些变化的不同反应,树木物候在不同的速率下发生了变化,导致最近几十年不同海拔的物候更加均匀。