Li Jing Bao, Luo Zhong Hai, Ye Ya Ya, Yang Bo
College of Resources and Environmental Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China.
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China.
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2016 Apr 22;27(4):1285-1293. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201604.023.
Based on the measured daily flow prototype sequence of five hydrologic stations in the three outfalls of Chingjiang River from 1990 to 2014, its hydrological characteristics and its changing trend was analyzed by using the Mann-Kendall statistical test and the cumulative anomaly method, while the effect of the operation of the Three Gorges on the variation of the 33 indexes of ecological hydrology was also analyzed by the index system of ecological hydrology and range of variability approach. The results showed an obvious decreasing trend in annual mean discharge with the confidence degree of 95% with a decrease rate of 19% during 1990-2014. The jump point appeared in 2003, with the annual mean discharge being 1981.1 m·s before 2003 but 1603.25 m·s after. There was an obvious increase in monthly mean discharge from January to April (the degree of deviation was 1.58, 1.86, 0.83 and 0.62 respectively), an obvious increase in the late May and the early June, a slight decrease in July and August (the degree of deviation was -0.12 and -0.10 respectively), and a significant decrease in October (the degree of deviation was -0.40). There was a great change in annual minimum flows while a slight change in most of the annual maximum flows and a moderate decrease in 1-day and 3-day maximum flow. It also had a great change in duration and frequency of the low-flow pulse and slight change in high-flow pulse.
基于清江流域3个河口5个水文站1990—2014年实测日流量原型序列,采用Mann-Kendall统计检验和累积距平法分析其水文特征及变化趋势,同时运用生态水文指标体系和可变范围法分析三峡工程运行对生态水文33项指标变化的影响。结果表明:1990—2014年多年平均流量呈明显下降趋势,置信度为95%,下降速率为19%;突变点出现在2003年,2003年以前多年平均流量为1981.1 m·s,2003年以后为1603.25 m·s;1—4月平均月流量明显增加(距平程度分别为1.58、1.86、0.83和0.62),5月下旬和6月初明显增加,7、8月略有下降(距平程度分别为-0.12和-0.10),10月显著下降(距平程度为-0.40);年最小流量变化较大,年最大流量多数变化较小,1日和3日最大流量呈中度下降;低流量脉冲的历时和频率变化较大,高流量脉冲变化较小。