UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Permoser Str. 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany.
CL:AIRE, 32 Bloomsbury Street, London WC1B 3QJ, United Kingdom.
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Apr 1;619-620:1040-1048. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.11.215. Epub 2017 Nov 29.
A deliberate expert-based scenario approach is applied to better understand the likely determinants of the evolution of the market for nanoparticles use in remediation in Europe until 2025. An initial set of factors had been obtained from a literature review and was complemented by a workshop and key-informant interviews. In further expert engaging formats - focus groups, workshops, conferences, surveys - this initial set of factors was condensed and engaged experts scored the factors regarding their importance for being likely to influence the market development. An interaction matrix was obtained identifying the factors being most active in shaping the market development in Europe by 2025, namely "Science-Policy-Interface" and "Validated information on nanoparticle application potential". Based on these, potential scenarios were determined and development of factors discussed. Conclusions are offered on achievable interventions to enhance nanoremediation deployment.
采用一种精心设计的基于专家的情景方法，以更好地了解到 2025 年之前，欧洲纳米颗粒修复市场演变的可能决定因素。一组初始因素是从文献综述中获得的，并通过研讨会和关键意见访谈进行了补充。在进一步的专家参与形式 - 焦点小组、研讨会、会议、调查 - 中，这组初始因素被压缩，参与的专家就这些因素对可能影响市场发展的重要性进行了评分。通过交互矩阵，确定了到 2025 年最能影响欧洲市场发展的因素，即“科学-政策界面”和“关于纳米颗粒应用潜力的验证信息”。在此基础上，确定了潜在情景，并讨论了因素的发展。最后就如何加强纳米修复技术的应用提出了一些干预措施。
