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创伤后呼吸衰竭持续时间与长期死亡率增加无关。

Duration of Respiratory Failure After Trauma Is Not Associated With Increased Long-Term Mortality.

机构信息

Division of Trauma, Burn and Critical Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, Harborview Medical Center, Seattle, WA.

Harborview Injury Prevention Research Center, Seattle, WA.

出版信息

Crit Care Med. 2018 Aug;46(8):1263-1268. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000003202.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Although 1-year survival in medically critically ill patients with prolonged mechanical ventilation is less than 50%, the relationship between respiratory failure after trauma and 1-year mortality is unknown. We hypothesize that respiratory failure duration in trauma patients is associated with decreased 1-year survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort of trauma patients.

SETTING

Single center, level 1 trauma center.

PATIENTS

Trauma patients admitted from 2011 to 2014; respiratory failure is defined as mechanical ventilation greater than or equal to 48 hours, excluded head Abbreviated Injury Score greater than or equal to 4.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Mortality was calculated from the Washington state death registry. Cohort was divided into short (≤ 14 d) and long (> 14 d) ventilation groups. We compared survival with a Cox proportional hazard model and generated a receiver operator characteristic to describe the respiratory failure and mortality relationship. Data are presented as medians with interquartile ranges and hazard ratios with 95% CIs. We identified 1,503 patients with respiratory failure; median age was 51 years (33-65 yr) and Injury Severity Score was 19 (11-29). Median respiratory failure duration was 3 days (2-6 d) with 10% of patients in the long respiratory failure group. Cohort mortality at 1 year was 16%, and there was no difference in mortality between short and long duration of respiratory failure. Predictions for 1-year mortality based on respiratory failure duration demonstrated an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.57. We determined that respiratory failure patients greater than or equal to 75 years had an increased hazard of death at 1 year, hazard ratio, 6.7 (4.9-9.1), but that within age cohorts, respiratory failure duration did not influence 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Duration of mechanical ventilation in the critically injured is not associated with 1-year mortality. Duration of ventilation following injury should not be used to predict long-term survival.

摘要

目的

尽管机械通气时间延长的重症医学患者的 1 年生存率不足 50%,但创伤后呼吸衰竭与 1 年死亡率之间的关系尚不清楚。我们假设创伤患者的呼吸衰竭持续时间与 1 年生存率降低有关。

设计

创伤患者的回顾性队列研究。

地点

单中心、1 级创伤中心。

患者

2011 年至 2014 年收治的创伤患者;呼吸衰竭定义为机械通气时间大于或等于 48 小时,排除颅脑损伤严重程度评分大于或等于 4 分。

干预措施

无。

测量和主要结果

从华盛顿州死亡登记处计算死亡率。队列分为短(≤ 14 d)和长(> 14 d)通气组。我们比较了生存情况,采用 Cox 比例风险模型,并生成了一个受试者工作特征曲线来描述呼吸衰竭和死亡率的关系。数据以中位数(四分位间距)和风险比(95%CI)表示。我们共确定了 1503 例呼吸衰竭患者,中位年龄为 51 岁(33-65 岁),损伤严重程度评分 19 分(11-29 分)。呼吸衰竭持续时间中位数为 3 天(2-6 天),长呼吸衰竭组 10%的患者持续时间较长。1 年时的队列死亡率为 16%,短时间和长时间呼吸衰竭患者的死亡率无差异。基于呼吸衰竭持续时间对 1 年死亡率的预测,受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.57。我们发现,年龄大于或等于 75 岁的呼吸衰竭患者在 1 年内死亡的风险增加,风险比为 6.7(4.9-9.1),但在年龄队列内,呼吸衰竭持续时间并不影响 1 年死亡率。

结论

严重创伤患者机械通气时间的长短与 1 年死亡率无关。创伤后机械通气时间的长短不应用于预测长期生存率。

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