Riverin Bruno D, Strumpf Erin C, Naimi Ashley I, Li Patricia
Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Direction de la santé publique du CIUSS du Centre-Sud-de-l'Île-de-Montréal, Quebec, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Health Serv Res. 2018 Dec;53(6):4682-4703. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.12976. Epub 2018 May 15.
To identify the optimal timing of in-person physician visit after hospital discharge to yield the largest reduction in readmission among elderly or chronically ill patients.
DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING/EXTRACTION METHODS: We extracted insurance billing data on 620,656 admissions for any cause from 2002 to 2009 in Quebec, Canada.
We used flexible survival models to estimate inverse probability weights for the precise timing (days) of in-person physician visit after discharge and weighted competing risk outcome models.
Readmission reduction associated with in-person physician visits (compared to none) was seen early after discharge, with 67.8 fewer readmissions per 1,000 discharges if physician visit occurred within 7 days (95 percent CI: 66.7-69.0), and 110.0 fewer readmissions within 21 days (95 percent CI: 108.2-111.7). The period of largest contribution to readmission reduction was seen in the first 10 days, while physician visits occurring later than 21 days after discharge did not further contribute to reducing hospital readmissions. Larger risk reductions were observed among patients in the highest morbidity level and for in-person follow-up with a primary care physician rather than a medical specialist.
When provided promptly, postdischarge in-person physician visit can prevent many readmissions. The benefits appear optimal when such visit occurs within the first 10 days, or at least within the first 21 days of discharge.
确定出院后亲自就医的最佳时间,以最大程度降低老年或慢性病患者的再入院率。
数据来源/研究背景/提取方法:我们提取了2002年至2009年加拿大魁北克省620,656例因任何原因入院的保险计费数据。
我们使用灵活的生存模型来估计出院后亲自就医的精确时间(天数)的逆概率权重,并使用加权竞争风险结果模型。
出院后早期即可观察到亲自就医(与未就医相比)与再入院率降低相关,如果在7天内进行医生问诊,每1000例出院患者的再入院人数减少67.8例(95%置信区间:66.7 - 69.0),21天内减少110.0例(95%置信区间:108.2 - 111.7)。对降低再入院率贡献最大的时间段是前10天,而出院后21天之后的医生问诊对降低医院再入院率没有进一步作用。在发病率最高的患者中以及由初级保健医生而非医学专家进行亲自随访时,观察到更大的风险降低。
及时提供出院后亲自就医服务可预防许多再入院情况。如果在出院后的前10天内,或至少在出院后的前21天内进行此类问诊,益处似乎最为显著。