Abe Dunn (
Bryn Whitmire is a statistician in the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Health Aff (Millwood). 2018 Jun;37(6):915-924. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2017.1688.
We introduce a new source of detailed data on spending by medical condition to analyze US health care spending growth in the period 2000-14. We found that thirty conditions, which represented only 11.5 percent of all conditions studied, accounted for 42 percent of the real growth rate in per capita spending during this period, even though they accounted for only 13 percent of overall spending in 2000. Primary drivers of spending growth included the use of new technologies, a shift toward the provision of preventive-type services, and an aging and more obese population. The health benefits of many new technologies appeared to outweigh the associated expenditures on treatment, which indicates that these are cost-effective and provide a net value to society. However, while these technologies may be of value, new treatments are often more expensive than older ones.
我们引入了一个新的数据源,提供了有关医疗条件支出的详细信息,用于分析 2000 年至 2014 年期间美国医疗保健支出的增长情况。我们发现,仅占研究所有疾病 11.5%的三十种疾病,占这一时期人均支出实际增长率的 42%,尽管它们仅占 2000 年总支出的 13%。支出增长的主要驱动因素包括新技术的使用、向预防型服务的转变,以及人口老龄化和肥胖人口的增加。许多新技术的健康效益似乎超过了相关治疗费用,这表明这些技术具有成本效益,为社会带来了净价值。然而,尽管这些技术可能具有价值,但新的治疗方法通常比旧的治疗方法更昂贵。