Roberts Laura C, Fosgate Geoffrey T
University of Pretoria, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Department of Production Animal Studies, Onderstepoort, 0110, South Africa; Western Cape Department of Agriculture, Elsenburg, 7607, South Africa.
University of Pretoria, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Department of Production Animal Studies, Onderstepoort, 0110, South Africa.
Prev Vet Med. 2018 Aug 1;156:38-48. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.05.001. Epub 2018 May 4.
Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) prevention and control is a challenge worldwide but the situation in southern Africa is particularly complex because the virus is endemic in wild African buffalo (Syncerus caffer). The objective of this study was to compare stakeholder perceptions of the FMD control methods employed to restrict FMD virus to the infected zone of South Africa. Data collection was performed using an online questionnaire distributed to FMD experts, government veterinarians, private livestock veterinarians, people involved within the wildlife sector, and "other" occupation groups including the general public. Data were also collected using semi-structured participatory group discussions with government animal health technicians (AHT) and communal cattle owners directly affected by FMD control measures. Evaluated control methods were the disease control fence bordering the western boundary of the Greater Limpopo Transfrontier Conservation Area, clinical surveillance of livestock, movement control of cloven-hoofed animals and products, and routine FMD vaccination of cattle. These management procedures were scored according to a set of technical, economic, and ethical criteria by stakeholders, who also weighted the criteria according to their perceived importance. Scores and weights were aggregated using an additive linear model to rank control methods. Sensitivity analysis was performed using a stochastic model to explore the effects of varying inputs and the exclusion of scores from randomly selected respondent groups on the ranking of control methods. The deterministic analysis assigned the highest ranking to the disease control fence and the lowest to routine vaccination of cattle. The fence had the highest ranking in 40% of the stochastic iterations, and second, third and fourth in 26%, 20% and 14% of iterations, respectively. The inputs from the AHT and people involved in the wildlife sector were the most influential for ranking the fence as the preferred control option. The most influential criteria were the feasibility of the fence as a control option and its influence on the economics of the communal cattle owners, livestock industry in the FMD free zone, and the government. The disease control fence was the highest ranking control option but further investigations are necessary to understand the reasons for stakeholder perceptions.
口蹄疫(FMD)的防控是一项全球性挑战,但非洲南部的情况尤为复杂,因为该病毒在非洲野水牛(非洲水牛属)中呈地方流行。本研究的目的是比较利益相关者对用于将口蹄疫病毒限制在南非感染区的口蹄疫防控方法的看法。数据收集通过向口蹄疫专家、政府兽医、私人牲畜兽医、野生动物部门相关人员以及包括普通公众在内的“其他”职业群体发放在线问卷来进行。还通过与直接受口蹄疫防控措施影响的政府动物卫生技术人员(AHT)和社区养牛户进行半结构化参与式小组讨论来收集数据。评估的防控方法包括大林波波跨界保护区西部边界的疾病防控围栏、牲畜临床监测、偶蹄动物及其产品的移动控制以及牛的口蹄疫常规疫苗接种。利益相关者根据一套技术、经济和伦理标准对这些管理程序进行评分,他们还根据自己认为的重要性对标准进行加权。使用加法线性模型汇总分数和权重以对口蹄疫防控方法进行排名。使用随机模型进行敏感性分析,以探讨不同输入以及排除随机选择的受访者群体的分数对口蹄疫防控方法排名的影响。确定性分析将疾病防控围栏排在最高位,将牛的常规疫苗接种排在最低位。在40%的随机迭代中,围栏排名最高,在26%、20%和14%的迭代中分别排名第二、第三和第四。AHT和野生动物部门相关人员的意见对将围栏列为首选防控选项的排名影响最大。最具影响力的标准是围栏作为防控选项的可行性及其对社区养牛户、口蹄疫无疫区的畜牧业和政府经济的影响。疾病防控围栏是排名最高的防控选项,但有必要进一步调查以了解利益相关者看法背后的原因。