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利用多准则决策分析为威尼斯的游轮选择可持续替代品。

Selecting sustainable alternatives for cruise ships in Venice using multi-criteria decision analysis.

机构信息

Dept. of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Venice, Italy.

Dept. of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Venice, Italy; Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Bolzano, Italy.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Nov 15;642:668-678. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.372. Epub 2018 Jun 14.

Abstract

The rapid growth of cruise ship tourism increases the use of historic port cities as strategic hubs for cruise ship operators. Benefits derived from increased tourism for the municipality and cruise ships are often at odds with the environmental and social impacts associated with continued historical port use. This study illustrates the use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) for weighing of various criteria and metrics related to the environment, economy, and social sustainability for the selection of a sustainable cruise line route. Specifically, MCDA methodology was employed in Venice, Italy to illustrate its application. First, the four most representative navigational route projects among those presented to local authorities were assessed based on social, economic, and environmental considerations. Second, a pool of experts representing the local authority, private port businesses, and cruise line industry were consulted to evaluate the validity and weight assignments for the selected criteria. Finally, a sensitivity analysis was employed to assess the robustness of the recommendations using an evaluation of weight changes and their effects on the ranking of alternative navigational routes. The results were presented and discussed in a multi-stakeholder meeting to further the route selection process.

摘要

邮轮旅游业的快速发展增加了历史港口城市作为邮轮运营商战略枢纽的使用。对于市政府和邮轮来说,旅游业的增长带来的好处往往与继续使用历史港口相关的环境和社会影响相悖。本研究说明了如何使用多准则决策分析(MCDA)来权衡与环境、经济和社会可持续性相关的各种标准和指标,以选择可持续的邮轮航线。具体来说,意大利威尼斯采用了 MCDA 方法来举例说明其应用。首先,根据社会、经济和环境方面的考虑,对提交给地方当局的四个最具代表性的航行路线项目进行了评估。其次,咨询了代表地方当局、私营港口企业和邮轮行业的专家,以评估所选标准的有效性和权重分配。最后,进行了敏感性分析,通过评估权重变化及其对替代航行路线排名的影响,评估建议的稳健性。结果在一个多利益相关者会议上进行了介绍和讨论,以进一步推进路线选择过程。

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