An approach to identify the spatiotemporal patterns of nitrogen flows in food production and consumption systems within watersheds.

Human has greatly disturbed nitrogen (N) cycles through the food production and consumption (FPC) activities, which caused serious environmental consequences. A few studies address the pathways of N cycles to clarify the interrelationships between human activities and the altered N cycles, especially in terms of the spatial aspects of N flows, which are also influenced by natural factors. Here, we developed an integrated model to quantify the spatiotemporal patterns of N flows within the FPC and applied it to the Chaohu Watershed from 1949 to 2012. We found that total N inputs into the FPC increased by 6-fold during 1949-2012, while N inputs from chemical fertilizer had the largest increase, with an annual growth rate of 8.6%. N generation in manure doubled, but the recycling rate decreased by 50% in the study period. The total N losses increased from 17 to 130Gg-N/yr between 1949 and 2012. Annually, ~7% of total N losses was discharged into surface water annually, which peaked at 9.5Gg-N/yr during 1998-2003, two times as that in the early 1980s when algae blooms first occurred in Chaohu lake. Spatially, around one-fifth of the catchment area was responsible for all of N losses to surface water. These intensive areas located in the eastern and southern-central regions, which were identified as the critical areas for priority N mitigation. This study provided a method to depict spatiotemporal patterns of regional N flows for identifying the critical sources and areas of N pollution for precision watershed management.