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玉米害虫福氏螟蛉种群动态研究

Study of the Population Dynamics of Busseola fusca, Maize Pest.

作者信息

Ntahomvukiye Janvier Pesser, Temgoua Anatole, Bowong Samuel

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, University of Burundi, PO Box 2700, Bujumbura, Burundi.

Laboratory of Mathematics, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science, University of Douala, PO Box 24157, Douala, Cameroon.

出版信息

Acta Biotheor. 2018 Dec;66(4):379-397. doi: 10.1007/s10441-018-9335-x. Epub 2018 Jun 14.

Abstract

Busseola fusca is a maize and sorghum pest that can cause significant damage to both crops. Given that maize is one of the main cereals grown in the worldwide, this pest is a major challenge for maize production and therefore for the economies of several countries . In this paper , based on the life cycle of B. fusca, we propose a mathematical model to study the population dynamics of this insect pest . A sensitivity analysis using the eFast method was performed to show the most important parameters of the model. We present the theoretical analysis of the model. More precisely, we derive a threshold parameter [Formula: see text], called basic offspring number and show that the trivial equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable whenever [Formula: see text], while if [Formula: see text], the non trivial equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The theoretical results are supported by numerical simulations.

摘要

高粱条螟是一种危害玉米和高粱的害虫,会对这两种作物造成严重损害。鉴于玉米是全球主要种植的谷物之一,这种害虫对玉米生产构成了重大挑战,进而对多个国家的经济也构成了重大挑战。在本文中,基于高粱条螟的生命周期,我们提出了一个数学模型来研究这种害虫的种群动态。使用eFast方法进行了敏感性分析,以展示该模型最重要的参数。我们给出了该模型的理论分析。更确切地说,我们推导出一个阈值参数[公式:见正文],称为基本后代数量,并表明当[公式:见正文]时,平凡平衡点是全局渐近稳定的,而当[公式:见正文]时,非平凡平衡点是全局渐近稳定的。理论结果得到了数值模拟的支持。

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