Lu Ya-Ling, Zhou Jia, Cheng Xi, Zhang Wei, Jiang Hong-Qiang
State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Planning and Policy Simulation, Chinese Academy for Environment Planning, Beijing 100012, China.
School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China.
Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2018 Jun 8;39(6):2566-2575. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.201709207.
In order to evaluate policy implementation for yellow-label vehicles (namely, those that fail to meet the Chinese No.1 standard for exhaust emissions), and to compare the policy of an early elimination subsidy with traffic restrictions of these vehicles, the emission factor method was adopted to calculate the emission reduction resulting from the two policies in the Jing-jin-ji Region. The results showed that: ① The policies led to good emission reductions for the Jing-jin-ji Region. Since the implementation of the policies, the cumulative reductions of CO, HC, NO, PM, and PM have been 5003.2 kt, 397.9 kt, 318.2 kt, 9.6 kt, and 10.6 kt, respectively. ② The pollutants reduced most prominently were CO, HC, and NO, which contributed greatly to the emission reductions and air pollution control. ③ The main motorcycle types for the CO and HC emission reductions were small gasoline-powered passenger vehicles and light duty gasoline-powered vehicles. Heavy duty diesel cars contributed the most to the emission reduction of NO and particulate matters. ④ The emission reductions for CO, HC, and NO were greater in densely populated urban areas in the Jing-jin-ji Region. The emission reductions of CO and HC in Beijing, Tianjin, and Shijiazhuang were more obvious than in other cities, and the emission reductions of NO and particulate matters were more obvious in Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Tangshan, and Handan. ⑤ Comparing the two policies of an early elimination subsidy and traffic restriction, the emission reduction of the former policy is continuous for a few years, and the effectiveness of reduction is significant in several years. However, the effectiveness of the latter policy decreases with time.
为评估黄标车(即未达中国第一阶段排放标准的车辆)政策实施情况,并比较提前淘汰补贴政策与黄标车限行政策,采用排放因子法计算京津冀地区这两项政策带来的减排量。结果显示:①这些政策使京津冀地区减排效果良好。自政策实施以来,CO、HC、NO、PM和PM的累计减排量分别达5003.2千吨、397.9千吨、318.2千吨、9.6千吨和10.6千吨。②减排最为显著的污染物是CO、HC和NO,它们对减排及空气污染控制贡献巨大。③CO和HC减排的主要摩托车类型是小型汽油乘用车和轻型汽油车。重型柴油车对NO和颗粒物减排贡献最大。④京津冀地区人口密集的城区CO、HC和NO的减排量更大。北京、天津和石家庄的CO和HC减排比其他城市更明显,天津、石家庄、唐山和邯郸的NO和颗粒物减排更明显。⑤比较提前淘汰补贴和限行这两项政策,前一项政策的减排在几年内持续且减排效果显著。然而,后一项政策的效果随时间下降。