National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China.
National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China.
Environ Pollut. 2018 Oct;241:1106-1114. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2018.06.045. Epub 2018 Jun 19.
Previous studies have suggested that ambient temperature is associated with the mortality and morbidity of myocardial infarction (MI) although consistency among these investigations is lacking. We performed a meta-analysis to investigate the relationship between ambient temperature and MI. The PubMed, Web of Science, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were searched back to August 31, 2017. The pooled estimates for different temperature exposures were calculated using a random-effects model. The Cochran's Q test and coefficient of inconsistency (I) were used to evaluate heterogeneity, and the Egger's test was used to assess publication bias. The exposure-response relationship of temperature-MI mortality or hospitalization was modeled using random-effects meta-regression. A total of 30 papers were included in the review, and 23 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled estimates for the relationship between temperature and the relative risk of MI hospitalization was 1.016 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.004-1.028) for a 1 °C increase and 1.014 (95% CI: 1.004-1.024) for a 1 °C decrease. The pooled estimate of MI mortality was 1.639 (95% CI: 1.087-2.470) for a heat wave. The heterogeneity was significant for heat exposure, cold exposure, and heat wave exposure. The Egger's test revealed potential publication bias for cold exposure and heat exposure, whereas there was no publication bias for heat wave exposure. An increase in latitude was associated with a decreased risk of MI hospitalization due to cold exposure. The association of heat exposure and heat wave were immediate, and the association of cold exposure were delayed. Consequently, cold exposure, heat exposure, and exposure to heat waves were associated with an increased risk of MI. Further research studies are required to understand the relationship between temperature and MI in different climate areas and extreme weather conditions.
先前的研究表明,环境温度与心肌梗死(MI)的死亡率和发病率有关,尽管这些研究结果并不一致。我们进行了一项荟萃分析,以调查环境温度与 MI 之间的关系。我们检索了 PubMed、Web of Science 和中国国家知识基础设施数据库,回溯至 2017 年 8 月 31 日。使用随机效应模型计算不同温度暴露的汇总估计值。使用 Cochran's Q 检验和不一致系数(I)评估异质性,并使用 Egger's 检验评估发表偏倚。使用随机效应荟萃回归模型来模拟温度-MI 死亡率或住院率的暴露反应关系。共纳入 30 篇文献进行综述,其中 23 篇纳入荟萃分析。环境温度与 MI 住院相对风险之间的关系汇总估计值为每升高 1°C,比值比为 1.016(95%置信区间[CI]:1.004-1.028),每降低 1°C,比值比为 1.014(95% CI:1.004-1.024)。热浪暴露的 MI 死亡率汇总估计值为 1.639(95% CI:1.087-2.470)。热暴露、冷暴露和热浪暴露的异质性显著。Egger 检验显示冷暴露和热暴露存在潜在发表偏倚,而热浪暴露则不存在发表偏倚。纬度增加与冷暴露导致的 MI 住院风险降低相关。热暴露和热浪暴露的关联是即时的,而冷暴露的关联是延迟的。因此,冷暴露、热暴露和暴露于热浪均与 MI 风险增加相关。需要进一步的研究来了解不同气候区和极端天气条件下温度与 MI 之间的关系。