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阐明风湿性疾病的环境风险因素:一项Meta分析的综合评价

Elucidating the environmental risk factors for rheumatic diseases: An umbrella review of meta-analyses.

作者信息

Belbasis Lazaros, Dosis Vasilios, Evangelou Evangelos

机构信息

Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina Medical School, Ioannina, Greece.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.

出版信息

Int J Rheum Dis. 2018 Aug;21(8):1514-1524. doi: 10.1111/1756-185X.13356.

Abstract

AIMS

Although rheumatic diseases constitute a leading cause of disability, the environmental risk factors for these diseases are not clarified. In the present study, we aim to systematically appraise the epidemiological credibility of the environmental risk factors for rheumatic diseases.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed to capture meta-analyses of observational studies on environmental risk factors for the most prevalent rheumatic diseases. For each association, we estimated the summary effect size estimate, the 95% confidence and prediction intervals, and the I metric. We further examined the presence of small-study effects and excess significance bias.

RESULTS

Overall, we identified 30 eligible papers describing 42 associations. Thirty-three associations were statistically significant at P < 0.05, whereas 13 of them were statistically significant at P < 1 × 10 . Thirty-two associations had large or very large between-study heterogeneity. In 12 associations, evidence of small-study effects and/or excess significance bias was found. Six risk factors (nine associations) presented convincing or highly suggestive evidence of association: smoking and pack-years of smoking for rheumatoid arthritis; BMI (per 5 kg/m increase) for gout and hip osteoarthritis; alcohol consumption for gout; BMI (overweight vs lean, obese vs lean), knee injury and participation in heavy work for knee osteoarthritis.

CONCLUSION

Our umbrella review indicated that a narrow range of risk factors has been examined for rheumatic diseases. Current evidence strongly supports that smoking, obesity, alcohol consumption, knee injury, and work activities are associated with risk for at least one rheumatic disease.

摘要

目的

尽管风湿性疾病是导致残疾的主要原因之一,但这些疾病的环境危险因素尚不明确。在本研究中,我们旨在系统评估风湿性疾病环境危险因素的流行病学可信度。

方法

我们系统检索了PubMed,以获取关于最常见风湿性疾病环境危险因素的观察性研究的荟萃分析。对于每一种关联,我们估计了效应量汇总估计值、95%置信区间和预测区间以及I统计量。我们进一步检查了小研究效应和过度显著性偏差的存在情况。

结果

总体而言,我们确定了30篇符合条件的论文,描述了42种关联。33种关联在P<0.05时具有统计学意义,其中13种在P<1×10时具有统计学意义。32种关联在研究间存在较大或非常大的异质性。在12种关联中,发现了小研究效应和/或过度显著性偏差的证据。六个危险因素(九种关联)呈现出令人信服或高度提示性的关联证据:类风湿关节炎的吸烟及吸烟包年数;痛风和髋骨关节炎的体重指数(每增加5kg/m);痛风的饮酒量;膝关节骨关节炎的体重指数(超重与消瘦、肥胖与消瘦)、膝关节损伤及从事重体力劳动。

结论

我们的综合评价表明,针对风湿性疾病所研究的危险因素范围较窄。目前的证据有力地支持,吸烟、肥胖、饮酒、膝关节损伤及工作活动与至少一种风湿性疾病的风险相关。

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