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阿尔茨海默病的长期医疗费用:匹配队列分析。

Long-term medical costs of Alzheimer's disease: matched cohort analysis.

机构信息

Danish Centre for Health Economics (DaCHE), Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, J.B. Winsløws Vej 9, 5000, Odense, Denmark.

Department of Community Health Sciences, The University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.

出版信息

Eur J Health Econ. 2019 Apr;20(3):333-342. doi: 10.1007/s10198-018-1004-0. Epub 2018 Aug 31.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Medical costs associated with Alzheimer's disease (AD) are characterised by uncertainty and are often presented in a format unsuitable for decision modelling. We set out to estimate long-term medical costs attributable to AD compared to the general population for use in decision modelling.

METHODS

We used multiple logistic regressions to generate propensity scores to match 26,951 incident cases of AD with 26,951 people without AD, identified from Danish hospital and medication registries. Costs were available for up to 11 years for each individual, representing costs for 10 years before and 5 years after diagnosis. Generalised estimating equations were employed to investigate the effect of having AD on primary care, medication, hospital and total costs in the matched cohort. We also explored the impact of other socio-economic and demographic factors on healthcare costs.

RESULTS

We report costs by year to diagnosis, from 10 years before to 5 after. AD was associated with significantly higher costs, driven by medication and hospital costs, especially around the time of diagnosis. Mean total medical cost was €4996 higher for AD than for the control group in year of diagnosis, after which primary and hospital costs decreased to pre-diagnostic levels. AD had higher attributable primary care costs in years preceding diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Reporting AD-attributable costs by year to diagnosis can be useful for use in decision modelling. Medical costs attributed to AD are driven by diagnostic procedures and medication, and the impact of AD on medical costs may not be as high or prolonged as previously suggested.

摘要

目的

与阿尔茨海默病(AD)相关的医疗成本具有不确定性,并且通常以不适合决策建模的格式呈现。我们旨在估计 AD 与普通人群相比的长期医疗成本,以便用于决策建模。

方法

我们使用多项逻辑回归生成倾向评分,以从丹麦医院和药物登记处中匹配 26951 例 AD 新发病例和 26951 例无 AD 患者。每位患者最多可获得 11 年的成本数据,代表诊断前 10 年和诊断后 5 年的成本。我们采用广义估计方程来研究 AD 对匹配队列中初级保健、药物、医院和总费用的影响。我们还探讨了其他社会经济和人口统计学因素对医疗保健费用的影响。

结果

我们按诊断前的年份报告成本,从 10 年前到诊断后 5 年。AD 与更高的成本相关,主要是药物和医院费用,特别是在诊断时。在诊断当年,AD 患者的总医疗费用比对照组高出 4996 欧元,此后初级保健和医院费用降至诊断前水平。在诊断前几年,AD 患者的初级保健费用更高。

结论

按诊断前的年份报告 AD 归因成本可用于决策建模。归因于 AD 的医疗费用是由诊断程序和药物驱动的,AD 对医疗费用的影响可能不如之前所建议的那么高或持续时间那么长。

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