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四种子痫前期风险标准的鉴别准确性比较。

Comparison of the discriminatory accuracy of four risk criteria for preeclampsia.

作者信息

Cordero-Franco Hid Felizardo, Salinas-Martínez Ana María, García-Alvarez Tania Abigail, Medina-Franco Gloria Estefanía, Guzmán-de la Garza Francisco Javier, Díaz-Sánchez Oscar, Ramírez-Sandoval Gerardo

机构信息

Unidad de Investigación Epidemiológica y en Servicios de Salud/CIBIN, Delegación Nuevo León, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico; Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, Facultad de Medicina, Mexico.

Unidad de Investigación Epidemiológica y en Servicios de Salud/CIBIN, Delegación Nuevo León, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico; Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, Facultad de Salud Pública y Nutrición, Mexico.

出版信息

Pregnancy Hypertens. 2018 Jul;13:161-165. doi: 10.1016/j.preghy.2018.06.007. Epub 2018 Jun 9.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Several criteria have been proposed to categorize the risk of preeclampsia, with notable differences between these criteria. We compared the discriminatory accuracy of criteria for categorizing preeclampsia risk established by four institutions, namely, the World Health Organization (WHO), National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), and National Center for Technological Excellence in Health (CENETEC), and estimated the concordance between these criteria.

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a secondary data analysis of 590 Mexican obstetric patients who received prenatal care in primary care between 2016 and 2017; 160 had a diagnosis of preeclampsia.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We estimated the true (TP) and false positive (FP) fractions, positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV), positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and Kappa coefficient with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Only the WHO criteria, followed by the NICE criteria, had the greatest number of accuracy indicators with ideal or acceptable results: TP 83.6%, PPV 60.5%, NPV 90.3%, DOR 14.3, and AUROC 0.79 and TP 84.5%, PPV 51.0%, NPV 90.3%, DOR 9.7, and AUROC 0.74, respectively. The Kappa coefficient between WHO and NICE criteria was 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

The discriminatory accuracies of the WHO and NICE criteria were superior to those of the ACOG and CENETEC criteria for classifying preeclampsia risk. Their concordance was good; thus, both criteria seem appropriate for screening preeclampsia in primary care.

摘要

目的

已提出多种标准来对先兆子痫风险进行分类,这些标准之间存在显著差异。我们比较了世界卫生组织(WHO)、英国国家卫生与临床优化研究所(NICE)、美国妇产科医师学会(ACOG)和国家卫生技术卓越中心(CENETEC)这四个机构制定的先兆子痫风险分类标准的判别准确性,并估计了这些标准之间的一致性。

研究设计

我们对2016年至2017年间在初级保健机构接受产前护理的590名墨西哥产科患者进行了二次数据分析;其中160名被诊断为先兆子痫。

主要结局指标

我们估计了真阳性(TP)和假阳性(FP)率、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)、阳性(LR +)和阴性(LR -)似然比、诊断比值比(DOR)、受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)以及具有相应95%置信区间(CI)的Kappa系数。

结果

只有WHO标准,其次是NICE标准,具有最多数量的准确性指标,且结果理想或可接受:TP分别为83.6%、PPV为60.5%、NPV为90.3%、DOR为14.3以及AUROC为0.79;以及TP为84.5%、PPV为51.0%、NPV为90.3%、DOR为9.7以及AUROC为0.74。WHO和NICE标准之间的Kappa系数为0.78(95%CI 0.71 - 0.85)。

结论

在对先兆子痫风险进行分类时,WHO和NICE标准的判别准确性优于ACOG和CENETEC标准。它们的一致性良好;因此,这两个标准似乎都适用于在初级保健中筛查先兆子痫。

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