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预测原发性脑出血患者的30天死亡率:评估脑出血及改良脑出血新评分的价值

Predicting 30-day mortality in patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage: Evaluation of the value of intracerebral hemorrhage and modified new intracerebral hemorrhage scores.

作者信息

Rahmani Farzad, Rikhtegar Reza, Ala Alireza, Farkhad-Rasooli Aysan, Ebrahimi-Bakhtavar Haniyeh

机构信息

Emergency Medicine Research Team, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

Neurosciences Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

出版信息

Iran J Neurol. 2018 Jan 5;17(1):47-52.

PMID:30186559
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6121209/
Abstract

Different criteria have been proposed to determine the mortality rate of primary intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). This study aimed to evaluate ICH and Modified New ICH scores in predicting 30-day mortality in patients with primary ICH. In this prospective cohort study, 107 patients diagnosed with primary ICH were enrolled at an interval of six months (October 2015-March 2016). They were evaluated using Modified New ICH and ICH scores. The Modified New ICH score was different from the New ICH score since the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) variables were replaced by Modified Rankin Scale (MRS) in the modified score. A total of 61 patients (57%) died, and 46 (43%) survived during the 30-day hospitalization. ICH ≥ 2 and Modified New ICH ≥ 3 scores predicted 30-day mortality rate in patients with the sensitivity and specificity rates of 87 and 63 percent, and 88 and 53 percent, respectively. The current study showed that both ICH and Modified New ICH scores were almost equally effective in determining the mortality rate in patients with primary ICH, and both criteria had acceptable value in determining the mortality rate of patients. Therefore, routine assessment of ICH and Modified New ICH scores in patients with ICH in emergency wards is recommended.

摘要

人们已经提出了不同的标准来确定原发性脑出血(ICH)的死亡率。本研究旨在评估ICH评分和改良的新ICH评分对原发性ICH患者30天死亡率的预测价值。在这项前瞻性队列研究中,于2015年10月至2016年3月期间,每隔六个月招募107例诊断为原发性ICH的患者。使用改良的新ICH评分和ICH评分对他们进行评估。改良的新ICH评分与新ICH评分不同,因为在改良评分中,国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)变量被改良Rankin量表(MRS)所取代。在30天的住院期间,共有61例患者(57%)死亡,46例(43%)存活。ICH≥2分和改良的新ICH≥3分预测原发性ICH患者30天死亡率,敏感度和特异度分别为87%和63%,以及88%和53%。本研究表明,ICH评分和改良的新ICH评分在确定原发性ICH患者的死亡率方面几乎同样有效,并且这两个标准在确定患者死亡率方面都具有可接受的价值。因此,建议在急诊病房对ICH患者常规评估ICH评分和改良的新ICH评分。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/66d7/6121209/bf98c5debfdd/IJNL-17-47-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/66d7/6121209/bf98c5debfdd/IJNL-17-47-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/66d7/6121209/bf98c5debfdd/IJNL-17-47-g001.jpg

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Emerg (Tehran). 2017;5(1):e36. Epub 2017 Jan 11.
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Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2017 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.《2017年心脏病和中风统计数据更新:美国心脏协会报告》
Circulation. 2017 Mar 7;135(10):e146-e603. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000485. Epub 2017 Jan 25.
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Predictors of 30-day mortality in patients with spontaneous primary intracerebral hemorrhage.
自发性原发性脑出血患者30天死亡率的预测因素。
Surg Neurol Int. 2016 Aug 1;7(Suppl 18):S510-7. doi: 10.4103/2152-7806.187493. eCollection 2016.
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Is the ICH score a valid predictor of mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage?国际脑出血手术治疗研究(ICH)评分能否有效预测脑出血患者的死亡率?
J Am Assoc Nurse Pract. 2015 Jul;27(7):351-5. doi: 10.1002/2327-6924.12198. Epub 2015 Jan 24.
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Can APACHE II Score Predict Diabetic Ketoacidosis in Hyperglycemic Patients Presenting to Emergency Department?APACHE II评分能否预测急诊科高血糖患者的糖尿病酮症酸中毒?
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Etiology and outcome determinants of intracerebral hemorrhage in a south Indian population, A hospital-based study.印度南部人群脑出血的病因及预后决定因素:一项基于医院的研究
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