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一项对斯托亚诺娃等人(2017年)用于死亡年龄估计方法的验证研究,该方法对欧洲人群成年男性的耻骨联合三维表面进行量化。

A validation study of the Stoyanova et al. method (2017) for age-at-death estimation quantifying the 3D pubic symphyseal surface of adult males of European populations.

作者信息

Kotěrová Anežka, Velemínská Jana, Cunha Eugénia, Brůžek Jaroslav

机构信息

Department of Anthropology and Human Genetics, Faculty of Science, Charles University, Viničná 7, 128 43, Prague 2, Czech Republic.

Laboratory of Forensic Anthropology, Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Calçada Martim de Freitas, 3000-456, Coimbra, Portugal.

出版信息

Int J Legal Med. 2019 Mar;133(2):603-612. doi: 10.1007/s00414-018-1934-1. Epub 2018 Sep 15.

Abstract

The age-at-death estimation thresholds have recently been shifted towards a more objective assessment of the aging process. Such a non-subjective approach offers quantitative methods of age estimation; for instance, the method relating to the surfaces of pubic symphyses of males published by Stoyanova et al. (J Forensic Sci 62:1434-1444, 2017). A validation study was conducted to test the method performance in European samples. The sample consisted of 96 meshes of pubic symphyses of male individuals (known sex and age) that came from four different samples (two Portuguese collections, one Swiss, and one Crete). Stoyanova's method based on five regression models (three univariate and two multivariate models) performed worse in our sample, but only when the whole sample (without age limitation) was included. A sample limited to individuals under 40 years of age achieved better results in our study. The best results were reached through the thin plate spline algorithm (TPS/BE) with a root mean square error of 5.93 years and inaccuracy of 4.47 years. Generally, the multivariate regression models did not contribute to better age estimation. In our sample in all age categories, age was systematically underestimated. The quantitative method tested in this study works best for individuals under 40 years of age and provides a suitable basis for further research.

摘要

最近,死亡年龄估计阈值已转向对衰老过程进行更客观的评估。这种非主观方法提供了年龄估计的定量方法;例如,斯托亚诺娃等人发表的关于男性耻骨联合表面的方法(《法医学杂志》62:1434 - 1444,2017年)。进行了一项验证研究,以测试该方法在欧洲样本中的性能。样本包括来自四个不同样本(两个葡萄牙样本集、一个瑞士样本和一个克里特岛样本)的96个男性耻骨联合网格(已知性别和年龄)。基于五个回归模型(三个单变量模型和两个多变量模型)的斯托亚诺娃方法在我们的样本中表现较差,但仅当纳入整个样本(无年龄限制)时才如此。在我们的研究中,仅限于40岁以下个体的样本取得了更好的结果。通过薄板样条算法(TPS/BE)获得了最佳结果,均方根误差为5.93岁,误差为4.47岁。一般来说,多变量回归模型对更好的年龄估计没有帮助。在我们样本的所有年龄类别中,年龄都被系统性地低估了。本研究中测试的定量方法最适用于40岁以下的个体,并为进一步研究提供了合适的基础。

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