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儿童死亡率 3 指数和儿科逻辑器官功能障碍 2 评分在危重症儿童中的表现。

Performance of the Paediatric Index of Mortality 3 and Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 Scores in Critically Ill Children.

机构信息

Children's Intensive Care Unit, Department of Paediatric Subspecialities, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore.

出版信息

Ann Acad Med Singap. 2018 Aug;47(8):285-290.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The Paediatric Index of  Mortality 3 (PIM 3) and Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 (PELOD 2) scores were recently revised. We aimed to assess the performance of these scores in a contemporary cohort of critically ill children.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a single-centre prospective study conducted in a multidisciplinary paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Consecutive PICU admissions over 1 year were included and admission PIM 3 and PELOD 2 scores were calculated. The performance of each of the scores was evaluated by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for the outcome of PICU mortality.

RESULTS

A total of  570 patient admissions were eligible for this study. The median age of patients was 3.1 (interquartile range [IQR]: 0.4, 8.9 years). Overall median PIM 3 and PELOD 2 scores were 1.2 (IQR: 0.4, 3.2) % and 4 (IQR: 2, 7), respectively. The overall mortality rate was 35/570 (6.1%). The PIM 3 and PELOD 2 scores had good discrimination for mortality (AUCs 0.88 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.85, 0.91] and 0.86 [95% CI 0.83, 0.89], respectively). Goodness-of-fit was satisfactory for both scores. Higher PIM 3 and PELOD 2 scores were also associated with decreasing ventilator and PICU-free days.

CONCLUSION

PIM 3 and PELOD 2 scores are robust severity of illness scores that are generalisable to a contemporary cohort of critically ill children in Singapore.

摘要

简介

儿科死亡率指数 3(PIM 3)和儿科逻辑器官功能障碍 2(PELOD 2)评分最近进行了修订。我们旨在评估这些评分在当代危重症儿童中的表现。

材料和方法

这是一项在多学科儿科重症监护病房(PICU)进行的单中心前瞻性研究。连续 1 年 PICU 入院的患儿均纳入研究,并计算入院时的 PIM 3 和 PELOD 2 评分。通过计算接受者操作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)和 Hosmer-Lemeshow 拟合优度检验来评估每个评分对 PICU 死亡率的预测效果。

结果

共有 570 例患者符合入选标准。患者的中位年龄为 3.1 岁(四分位距 [IQR]:0.4,8.9 岁)。总体 PIM 3 和 PELOD 2 评分中位数分别为 1.2%(IQR:0.4,3.2)和 4(IQR:2,7)。总体死亡率为 35/570(6.1%)。PIM 3 和 PELOD 2 评分对死亡率具有良好的区分度(AUC 分别为 0.88 [95%置信区间(CI)0.85,0.91]和 0.86 [95% CI 0.83,0.89])。拟合优度对两个评分均满意。较高的 PIM 3 和 PELOD 2 评分与呼吸机使用时间和 PICU 住院天数减少有关。

结论

PIM 3 和 PELOD 2 评分是一种可靠的疾病严重程度评分,适用于新加坡当代危重症儿童。

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