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血清高敏C反应蛋白可提高CURB-65对社区获得性肺炎患者入住重症监护病房及死亡的预测敏感性。

Serum High-Sensitivity C Reactive Protein Improves Sensitivity of CURB-65 in Predicting ICU Admission and Mortality in Community-Acquired Pneumonia Patients.

作者信息

Ge Yan L, Liu Cong H, Xu Jing, Cui Zi Y, Guo Wei C, Li Hui L, Fu Ai S, Wang Hong Y, Zhang Hai F, Zhu Xiao Y

出版信息

Clin Lab. 2018 Oct 1;64(10):1749-1754. doi: 10.7754/Clin.Lab.2018.180536.

DOI:10.7754/Clin.Lab.2018.180536
PMID:30336524
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The CURB-65 scoring system is a simple tool in assessment and prognosis prediction for communityacquired pneumonia (CAP) patients. However, the variations in performance of CURB-65 in young and elderly patients, underestimation or overestimation of the severity, and mortality have often been reported. The aim of this study was to investigate the usefulness of serum high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hs-CRP) combined with CURB-65 in predicting ICU admission and 30-day mortality in CAP patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study. All patients over 18 years of age with a primary diagnosis of CAP were included, all of them received serum hs-CRP test and CURB-65 scaring evaluation. The main outcome measures were ICU admission and 30-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were used to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the CURB-65 model and hs-CRP combined CURB-65 augmented model in predicting the main outcomes.

RESULTS

Data from 150 patients was analyzed, in which the rate for patients requiring ICU admission was 30.67%, and the ultimate mortality rate was 24%. The areas of ROC curves (AUC) of CURB-65 was 0.859 (95% CI 0.705 to 1.000), hs-CRP combined CURB-65 augmented model was 0.864 (95% CI 0.692 to 1.000), ROC curve analyses showed the augmented model had higher sensitivity than the CURB-65 model in predicting main outcomes (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of serum hs-CRP in addition to the CURB-65 model improved the clinical usefulness in predicting ICU admission and mortality in CAP patients.

摘要

背景

CURB - 65评分系统是用于社区获得性肺炎(CAP)患者评估及预后预测的一种简单工具。然而,CURB - 65在年轻和老年患者中的表现差异、对严重程度及死亡率的低估或高估情况屡有报道。本研究旨在探讨血清高敏C反应蛋白(hs - CRP)联合CURB - 65在预测CAP患者入住重症监护病房(ICU)及30天死亡率方面的有效性。

方法

我们进行了一项回顾性研究。纳入所有年龄在18岁以上、初步诊断为CAP的患者,所有患者均接受血清hs - CRP检测及CURB - 65评分评估。主要观察指标为入住ICU及30天死亡率。采用受试者操作特征曲线(ROC)评估CURB - 65模型及hs - CRP联合CURB - 65增强模型预测主要观察指标的敏感性和特异性。

结果

分析了150例患者的数据,其中需要入住ICU的患者比例为30.67%,最终死亡率为24%。CURB - 65的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.859(95%可信区间0.705至1.000),hs - CRP联合CURB - 65增强模型为0.864(95%可信区间0.692至1.000),ROC曲线分析显示增强模型在预测主要观察指标方面比CURB - 65模型具有更高的敏感性(p = 0.001)。

结论

除CURB - 65模型外,检测血清hs - CRP可提高预测CAP患者入住ICU及死亡率的临床有效性。

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