State University of New York, Downstate School of Public Health, Brooklyn, New York.
University of Auckland and Green Lane Cardiovascular Services Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand.
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Feb 5;73(4):387-396. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2018.10.039. Epub 2018 Nov 11.
The ODYSSEY OUTCOMES (Evaluation of Cardiovascular Outcomes After an Acute Coronary Syndrome During Treatment With Alirocumab) trial compared alirocumab with placebo, added to high-intensity or maximum-tolerated statin treatment, after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in 18,924 patients. Alirocumab reduced the first occurrence of the primary composite endpoint and was associated with fewer all-cause deaths.
This pre-specified analysis determined the extent to which alirocumab reduced total (first and subsequent) nonfatal cardiovascular events and all-cause deaths in ODYSSEY OUTCOMES.
Hazard functions for total nonfatal cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, ischemia-driven coronary revascularization, and hospitalization for unstable angina or heart failure) and death were jointly estimated, linked by a shared frailty accounting for patient risk heterogeneity and correlated within-patient nonfatal events. An association parameter also quantified the strength of the linkage between risk of nonfatal events and death. The model provides accurate relative estimates of nonfatal event risk if nonfatal events are associated with increased risk for death.
With 3,064 first and 5,425 total events, 190 fewer first and 385 fewer total nonfatal cardiovascular events or deaths were observed with alirocumab compared with placebo. Alirocumab reduced total nonfatal cardiovascular events (hazard ratio: 0.87; 95% confidence interval: 0.82 to 0.93) and death (hazard ratio: 0.83; 95% confidence interval: 0.71 to 0.97) in the presence of a strong association between nonfatal and fatal event risk.
In patients with ACS, the total number of nonfatal cardiovascular events and deaths prevented with alirocumab was twice the number of first events prevented. Consequently, total event reduction is a more comprehensive metric to capture the totality of alirocumab clinical efficacy after ACS.
ODYSSEY OUTCOMES(急性冠脉综合征治疗中使用阿利西尤单抗的心血管结局评价)试验比较了阿利西尤单抗与安慰剂,在 18924 例急性冠脉综合征(ACS)患者中,阿利西尤单抗联合高强度或最大耐受他汀类药物治疗。阿利西尤单抗降低了首要复合终点的首次发生,且与全因死亡率降低相关。
本预先设定的分析旨在确定在 ODYSSEY OUTCOMES 中,阿利西尤单抗降低总(首次和后续)非致死性心血管事件和全因死亡的程度。
采用联合估计的方法对总非致死性心血管事件(心肌梗死、卒中和缺血驱动的冠状动脉血运重建,以及不稳定型心绞痛或心力衰竭住院)和死亡的风险函数进行联合估计,通过一个共同的脆弱性来连接,以考虑患者风险异质性,并在患者之间进行非致死性事件的相关性。一个关联参数也量化了非致死性事件风险与死亡风险之间的关联强度。如果非致死性事件与死亡风险增加相关,该模型可提供非致死性事件风险的准确相对估计。
阿利西尤单抗组有 190 例首次事件和 385 例总非致死性心血管事件或死亡较少,安慰剂组有 3064 例首次事件和 5425 例总事件。与安慰剂相比,阿利西尤单抗降低了总非致死性心血管事件(风险比:0.87;95%置信区间:0.82 至 0.93)和死亡(风险比:0.83;95%置信区间:0.71 至 0.97),而非致死性和致死性事件风险之间存在强烈关联。
在 ACS 患者中,阿利西尤单抗预防的非致死性心血管事件和死亡总数是预防首次事件的两倍。因此,总事件减少是更全面的指标,可捕获 ACS 后阿利西尤单抗的全部临床疗效。