University of Texas Southwestern Medical School, Dallas, Texas.
Division of Surgical Oncology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
J Surg Res. 2019 Jan;233:360-367. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2018.08.018. Epub 2018 Sep 8.
Predictive models for nonhome discharge (NHD) have been proposed in major surgical specialties. The rates and risk factors associated with NHD and prolonged length of stay (PLOS) after cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS/HIPEC) have not been evaluated. The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for NHD and PLOS after CRS/HIPEC in a national cohort of patients.
CRS/HIPEC cases were identified from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program 2011-2012 data set. Patients with an NHD or PLOS (>30 d) were compared with a group of patients discharged to home within 30 d. Univariate analysis was used to compare patient characteristics, operative variables, and postoperative complications among both groups. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of NHD and PLOS.
Five hundred fifty-six patients undergoing CRS/HIPEC were identified, of which 44 (7.9%) were not discharged to home within 30 d. The rate of NHD and PLOS in this cohort was 4.1% and 3.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified age ≥65 y, pre-op albumin <3.0 g/dL, and having a multivisceral resection as independent predictors of NHD/PLOS. If all three predictors are met preoperatively, the probability of NHD/PLOS was calculated to be 30.2%.
The main risk factors for NHD/PLOS after CRS/HIPEC were advanced age, hypoalbuminemia, and multivisceral resection. Adequate identification of these risk factors may facilitate preoperative discussion with patients, and improve discharge planning and resource utilization.
在主要的外科专业中,已经提出了用于非家庭出院(NHD)的预测模型。尚未评估细胞减灭术和腹腔热灌注化疗(CRS/HIPEC)后与 NHD 和延长住院时间(PLOS)相关的发生率和危险因素。本研究的目的是在全国范围内的患者队列中确定 CRS/HIPEC 后 NHD 和 PLOS 的危险因素。
从国家手术质量改进计划 2011-2012 数据集确定了 CRS/HIPEC 病例。将 NHD 或 PLOS(>30 d)的患者与在 30 d 内出院回家的一组患者进行比较。使用单变量分析比较两组患者的特征、手术变量和术后并发症。使用多变量回归分析确定 NHD 和 PLOS 的独立预测因素。
确定了 556 例接受 CRS/HIPEC 的患者,其中 44 例(7.9%)未在 30 d 内出院。该队列的 NHD 和 PLOS 发生率分别为 4.1%和 3.7%。多变量分析确定年龄≥65 y、术前白蛋白<3.0 g/dL 和多脏器切除术是 NHD/PLOS 的独立预测因素。如果术前满足所有三个预测因素,则 NHD/PLOS 的概率计算为 30.2%。
CRS/HIPEC 后 NHD/PLOS 的主要危险因素是年龄较大、低白蛋白血症和多脏器切除术。充分识别这些危险因素可能有助于与患者进行术前讨论,并改善出院计划和资源利用。