Chen Xi, Eggleston Karen, Sun Ang
Yale University and IZA.
Stanford University and NBER.
J Econ Ageing. 2018 Nov;12:225-235. doi: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2017.04.001. Epub 2017 Apr 10.
China launched a new rural pension scheme (hereafter NRPS) for rural residents in 2009, now covering almost all counties with over 400 million people enrolled. This implementation of the largest social pension program in the world offers a unique setting for studying the economics of intergenerational relationships during development, given the rapidity of China's population aging, traditions of filial piety and co-residence, decreasing number of children, and dearth of formal social security, at a relatively low income level. We draw on rich household surveys from two provinces at distinct development stages - impoverished Guizhou and relatively well-off Shandong - to better understand heterogeneity in the impact of pension benefits. Employing a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, we find that around the pension eligibility age cut-off, the NRPS significantly reduces intergenerational co-residence, especially between elderly parents and their adults sons; promotes pensioners' healthcare service consumption; and weakens (but does not supplant) non-pecuniary and pecuniary transfers across three generations. These effects are much larger in less developed Guizhou province.
中国于2009年为农村居民推出了新型农村社会养老保险(以下简称新农保),目前几乎覆盖了所有县,参保人数超过4亿。鉴于中国人口老龄化速度快、存在孝道和共同居住传统、子女数量减少以及在相对低收入水平下缺乏正式社会保障,这一世界上最大的社会养老保险计划的实施为研究发展过程中的代际关系经济学提供了一个独特的背景。我们利用来自处于不同发展阶段的两个省份——贫困的贵州和相对富裕的山东——丰富的家庭调查数据,以更好地理解养老金福利影响的异质性。采用模糊回归断点设计,我们发现,在养老金领取资格年龄截止点附近,新农保显著减少了代际共同居住情况,尤其是老年父母与其成年儿子之间的共同居住;促进了养老金领取者对医疗服务的消费;并削弱了(但并未取代)三代人之间的非货币和货币转移。这些影响在欠发达的贵州省要大得多。