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联合 C 反应蛋白、体重指数和左心室射血分数对预测 80 岁以上急性心肌梗死患者心血管事件的预后价值。

Prognostic Value of Combined C-Reactive Protein, Body Mass Index, and Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction in Predicting Cardiovascular Events in Patients ≥80 Years of Age With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

机构信息

Division of Dyslipidemia, State Key Laboratory of CardiovascularDisease, Fu Wai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.

Division of Dyslipidemia, State Key Laboratory of CardiovascularDisease, Fu Wai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Am J Cardiol. 2019 Feb 15;123(4):544-548. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2018.11.025. Epub 2018 Nov 24.

Abstract

Elevated high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and low body mass index (BMI) are linked to increased mortality in the elderly population. However, the combined value for predicting adverse cardiovascular events in the oldest-old (≥80 years old) with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains undetermined. A total of 463 AMI patients, who were ≥80 years old, were enrolled in this study between January 2012 and June 2017. A nested case-control study was implemented in 106 deaths and 212 controls, who were matched for age, gender, time of inclusion, and myocardial infarction type. Furthermore, the individual and additive values of hsCRP, BMI, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were assessed using adjusted hazard ratio, unadjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis, and receiver-operating characteristic curve models. The median follow-up time was 19.15 months, and there were 106 deaths (33.3%). Furthermore, HsCRP, BMI, and LVEF were significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p <0.05, respectively). In addition, a negative correlation between BMI and LVEF, and the positive association of hsCRP with all-cause mortality in the fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards model were detected. The combination of hsCRP, BMI, and LVEF was found to exhibit an enhanced predictive value for all-cause mortality (0.733 in jointly vs 0.623 in cardiovascular risk factors, p = 0.0007) in these oldest-old AMI patients. HsCRP, BMI, and LVEF are the independent risk factors for all-cause mortality for the oldest-old patients with AMI, and this combination offers more appreciable and reliable predictive value for all-cause mortality.

摘要

高敏 C 反应蛋白(hsCRP)升高和低体重指数(BMI)与老年人群死亡率增加有关。然而,对于伴有急性心肌梗死(AMI)的最年长人群(≥80 岁),联合预测不良心血管事件的价值仍不确定。本研究共纳入了 463 例年龄≥80 岁的 AMI 患者,这些患者于 2012 年 1 月至 2017 年 6 月期间入组。采用巢式病例对照研究,入选了 106 例死亡患者和 212 例匹配年龄、性别、纳入时间和心肌梗死类型的对照患者。此外,使用调整后的风险比、未调整的 Kaplan-Meier 分析和受试者工作特征曲线模型评估 hsCRP、BMI 和左心室射血分数(LVEF)的个体和累加价值。中位随访时间为 19.15 个月,有 106 例死亡(33.3%)。此外,hsCRP、BMI 和 LVEF 与全因死亡率显著相关(p<0.05)。此外,在完全调整的 Cox 比例风险模型中还发现了 BMI 和 LVEF 之间的负相关,以及 hsCRP 与全因死亡率之间的正相关。hsCRP、BMI 和 LVEF 的联合应用在这些最年长的 AMI 患者中显示出对全因死亡率的预测价值增强(联合预测值为 0.733,心血管危险因素为 0.623,p=0.0007)。hsCRP、BMI 和 LVEF 是 AMI 最年长患者全因死亡的独立危险因素,这种联合应用为全因死亡率提供了更有意义和更可靠的预测价值。

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