印度肺炎球菌结合疫苗的影响和成本效益。

Impact and cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in India.

机构信息

Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research (JIPMER), Puducherry 605008, India.

Wellcome Trust Research Laboratory, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India.

出版信息

Vaccine. 2019 Jan 21;37(4):623-630. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.12.004. Epub 2018 Dec 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

World Health Organization has recommended the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in the childhood immunisation programme of all the countries in the world. In lieu of its introduction in India, there is a need to generate evidence on cost-effectiveness of this vaccine. The current study looks into the impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV vaccine in India.

METHODS

We evaluated the cost effectiveness of implementation of PCV 13 vaccination program at national level by comparing with no vaccination program for a period of 10 birth cohorts from 2018 to 2027. UNIVAC, a deterministic static cohort model is developed by giving the conservative estimates of vaccine program related to mortality, disease event rates, vaccine efficacy and coverage projections, system and health care costs for the first five years of life. Cost effectiveness is reported as Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER). Further scenario and sensitivity analysis were done. Probability of PCV intervention to be cost effective at a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold equal to per capita gross domestic product (GDP) is calculated using the government perspective.

RESULTS

We found that the introduction of PCV vaccination program can cost an additional $467 (INR 31,666) for averting per DALY which is less than one time GDP per capita of India. Even with the most unfavourable scenario for PCV vaccine, cost per DALY averted is found to be $2323 (INR 1,57,520) which is still a cost effective intervention in India. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis found the ICER for PCV to be $649 (INR 44,008) with 95% CI: $374-$1161.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that the PCV program is a highly cost effective intervention and justifies the introduction of PCV into routine immunisation schedule in some of the states and recommends introducing it throughout the country to reduce morbidity and mortality among the under-five children.

摘要

背景

世界卫生组织已建议所有国家在儿童免疫计划中引入肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)。在印度尚未引入该疫苗的情况下,需要提供有关该疫苗成本效益的证据。本研究探讨了 PCV 疫苗在印度的影响和成本效益。

方法

我们通过比较 2018 年至 2027 年期间 10 个出生队列的有无疫苗接种计划,评估了在国家层面实施 PCV13 疫苗接种计划的成本效益。UNIVAC 是一种确定性静态队列模型,通过对与死亡率、疾病发生率、疫苗效力和覆盖范围预测、前五年的系统和医疗保健成本相关的疫苗计划进行保守估计来制定。成本效益以增量成本效益比(ICER)报告。进一步进行了情景和敏感性分析。使用政府视角计算了在支付意愿(WTP)阈值等于人均国内生产总值(GDP)的情况下,PCV 干预措施具有成本效益的概率。

结果

我们发现,引入 PCV 疫苗接种计划可以额外花费 467 美元(INR31666),以避免每 DALY 增加,这低于印度人均 GDP 的一次。即使对于 PCV 疫苗最不利的情况,也发现每 DALY 节省的成本为 2323 美元(INR157520),这在印度仍然是一种具有成本效益的干预措施。概率敏感性分析发现,PCV 的 ICER 为 649 美元(INR44008),95%CI:374-1161。

结论

本研究表明,PCV 计划是一种高度具有成本效益的干预措施,证明了在一些邦引入 PCV 纳入常规免疫计划的合理性,并建议在全国范围内引入该计划,以降低五岁以下儿童的发病率和死亡率。

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