Prediction of the Long-Term Dissolution Performance of an Immediate-Release Tablet Using Accelerated Stability Studies.

A slowdown in dissolution performance has been observed for an immediate release tablet formulation during long-term stability testing. The slowdown was successfully predicted using an accelerated stability study in which the dissolution was tested over a range of temperatures, humidity conditions and storage times. The slowdown was quantified using a calculated parameter referred to as the "acceleration factor" (AF); this is the degree by which the timescale (x-axis) of a dissolution profile needs to be scaled to overlay it on to the dissolution profile obtained at the initial timepoint. The "AF" approach was applicable because it was observed that the shape of the dissolution profile remains consistent even though different dissolution rates were obtained. Under the accelerated stability conditions, the AF is observed to follow an "exponential decay" curve. A predictive model for the long-term stability dissolution was obtained by modeling both the plateau level and the rate constant for the exponential decay curve as functions of temperature and humidity. The long-term stability of product A in packaging was successfully predicted using this model in combination with simulations of the changing relative humidity conditions inside the packaging.