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社会结构包含流行病,并在群居哺乳动物的疾病传播中调节个体角色。

Social structure contains epidemics and regulates individual roles in disease transmission in a group-living mammal.

作者信息

Rozins Carly, Silk Matthew J, Croft Darren P, Delahay Richard J, Hodgson Dave J, McDonald Robbie A, Weber Nicola, Boots Mike

机构信息

Department of Integrative Biology University of California, Berkeley Berkeley California.

Centre for Ecology and Conservation University of Exeter Penryn, Cornwall UK.

出版信息

Ecol Evol. 2018 Nov 11;8(23):12044-12055. doi: 10.1002/ece3.4664. eCollection 2018 Dec.

Abstract

Population structure is critical to infectious disease transmission. As a result, theoretical and empirical contact network models of infectious disease spread are increasingly providing valuable insights into wildlife epidemiology. Analyzing an exceptionally detailed dataset on contact structure within a high-density population of European badgers we show that a modular contact network produced by spatially structured stable social groups, lead to smaller epidemics, particularly for infections with intermediate transmissibility. The key advance is that we identify considerable variation among individuals in their role in disease spread, with these new insights made possible by the detail in the badger dataset. Furthermore, the important impacts on epidemiology are found even though the modularity of the Badger network is much lower than the threshold that previous work suggested was necessary. These findings reveal the importance of stable social group structure for disease dynamics with important management implications for socially structured populations.

摘要

种群结构对传染病传播至关重要。因此,传染病传播的理论和实证接触网络模型越来越多地为野生动物流行病学提供有价值的见解。通过分析欧洲獾高密度种群内接触结构的一个极其详细的数据集,我们表明由空间结构化的稳定社会群体产生的模块化接触网络会导致规模较小的疫情,特别是对于具有中等传播性的感染。关键进展在于我们识别出个体在疾病传播中的作用存在相当大的差异,獾数据集的详细程度使这些新见解成为可能。此外,尽管獾网络的模块化程度远低于先前研究表明的必要阈值,但仍发现了对流行病学的重要影响。这些发现揭示了稳定社会群体结构对疾病动态的重要性,对社会结构化种群具有重要的管理意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c8cf/6303749/0cce6bd5fddb/ECE3-8-12044-g001.jpg

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