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非心血管疾病负担对心力衰竭患者30天再入院的影响。

Impact of non-cardiovascular disease burden on thirty-day hospital readmission in heart failure patients.

作者信息

Kutyifa Valentina, Rice John, Jones Roy, Mathias Andrew, Yoruk Ayhan, Vermilye Katherine, Johnson Brent, Strawderman Robert, Lowenstein Charles

机构信息

University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, United States.

出版信息

Cardiol J. 2018;25(6):691-700. doi: 10.5603/CJ.2018.0147.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the impact of non-cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden on 30- -day readmission in heart failure (HF) patients. The aim of the study was to assess the role of non-CVD burden on 30-day readmission in HF patients. \ METHODS: We analyzed the effect of non-CVD burden by frequency of ICD-9 code categories on readmis-sions of patients discharged with a primary diagnosis of HF. We first modeled the probability of readmis-sion within 30 days as a function of demographic and clinical covariates in a randomly selected training dataset of the total cohort. Variable selection was carried out using a bootstrap LASSO procedure with 1000 bootstrap samples, the final model was tested on a validation dataset. Adjusted odds ratios and confidence intervals were reported in the validation dataset.

RESULTS

There were a total of 6228 HF hospitalizations, 1523 (24%) with readmission within 30 days of discharge. The strongest predictor for 30-day readmissions was any hospital admission in the prior year (p < 0.001). Cardiovascular risk factors did not enter the final model. However, digestive system diseases increased the risk for readmission by 17% for each diagnosis (p = 0.046), while respiratory diseases and genitourinary diseases showed a trend toward a higher risk of readmission (p = 0.07 and p = 0.09, respectively). Non-CVDs out-competed cardiovascular covariates previously reported to predict readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HF hospitalization, prior admissions predicted 30-day readmission. Diseases of the digestive system also increase 30-day readmission rates. Assessment of non-CVD burden in HF patients could serve as an important risk marker for 30-day readmissions.

摘要

背景

关于非心血管疾病(CVD)负担对心力衰竭(HF)患者30天再入院的影响,人们了解甚少。本研究的目的是评估非CVD负担在HF患者30天再入院中的作用。

方法

我们通过国际疾病分类第九版(ICD-9)编码类别的频率分析了非CVD负担对以HF为主要诊断出院患者再入院的影响。我们首先在整个队列中随机选择的训练数据集中,将30天内再入院的概率建模为人口统计学和临床协变量的函数。使用具有1000个自助样本的自助套索程序进行变量选择,最终模型在验证数据集中进行测试。在验证数据集中报告调整后的优势比和置信区间。

结果

共有6228例HF住院患者,其中1523例(24%)在出院后30天内再入院。30天再入院的最强预测因素是上一年的任何住院情况(p < 0.001)。心血管危险因素未进入最终模型。然而,消化系统疾病每次诊断使再入院风险增加17%(p = 0.046),而呼吸系统疾病和泌尿生殖系统疾病显示出再入院风险较高的趋势(分别为p = 0.07和p = 0.09)。非CVD在预测再入院方面超过了先前报道的心血管协变量。

结论

在HF住院患者中,既往住院情况可预测30天再入院。消化系统疾病也会增加30天再入院率。评估HF患者的非CVD负担可作为30天再入院的重要风险标志物。

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