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验证多变量预测模型在 465 例成人异基因造血干细胞移植受者移植后侵袭性真菌感染中的作用。

Validation of a multivariable prediction model for post-engraftment invasive fungal disease in 465 adult allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients.

机构信息

Department of Hematology, Hospital Universitari i Politècnic La Fe, València, Spain.

CIBERONC, Instituto Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

Mycoses. 2019 May;62(5):418-427. doi: 10.1111/myc.12891. Epub 2019 Mar 8.

DOI:10.1111/myc.12891
PMID:30633829
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Recently, we reported a simple prognostic score for post-engraftment invasive fungal disease (IFD) obtained in 404 adult allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloSCT) (training cohort).

OBJECTIVES

We aim to validate this score in an external cohort assessing the 1-year cumulative incidence (CI) of post-engraftment IFD. Additionally, we analyse the type of IFD and incidence of IFD according to type of prophylaxis.

PATIENTS/METHODS: We included 465 consecutive adult recipients surviving >40 days who engrafted and were discharged without prior IFD (median age 45 years, range, 14-69).

RESULTS

Patients classified as low-risk, 139; intermediate-risk, 162; and high-risk, 164 (35% vs 27% in the training cohort, P = 0.03). The CI of probable/proven IFD in the validation cohort was 8% vs 11% in the training cohort (P = 0.006). The only voriconazole prophylaxis used in the training cohort was 100 mg/12 h, 65% vs 27% in the validation cohort, but 38% received 200 mg/12 h. Thus, the validation cohort showed a lower CI of IFD (P = 0.009). The post-engraftment IFD score was validated, showing a CI of IFD for low-, intermediate- and high-risk of 3%, 6% and 14%, respectively (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

To our knowledge, this is the first prognostic index to predict the occurrence of post-engraftment IFD after alloSCT that has been validated in an external cohort.

摘要

背景

最近,我们报道了一个在 404 例成人异基因造血干细胞移植(alloSCT)(训练队列)中获得的用于移植后侵袭性真菌感染(IFD)的简单预后评分。

目的

我们旨在通过评估移植后 IFD 的 1 年累积发生率(CI)来验证该评分在外部队列中的有效性。此外,我们还根据预防类型分析了 IFD 的类型和 IFD 的发生率。

患者/方法:我们纳入了 465 例连续接受异基因造血干细胞移植且移植后>40 天存活并在无先前 IFD 的情况下出院的成年受者(中位年龄 45 岁,范围 14-69 岁)。

结果

患者被分类为低危 139 例、中危 162 例和高危 164 例(分别占 35%和 27%,与训练队列相比,P=0.03)。验证队列中可能/确诊 IFD 的 CI 为 8%,而训练队列为 11%(P=0.006)。在训练队列中,仅使用伏立康唑 100mg/12h 预防,占 65%,而在验证队列中,仅占 27%,但有 38%的患者使用 200mg/12h 预防。因此,验证队列中 IFD 的 CI 较低(P=0.009)。移植后 IFD 评分得到验证,低、中、高危的 IFD CI 分别为 3%、6%和 14%(P<0.001)。

结论

据我们所知,这是第一个在外部队列中得到验证的预测 alloSCT 后移植后 IFD 发生的预后指数。

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