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在北印度男性人群中,使用线性和多元回归分析从不同足部测量组合估计身高。

Stature estimation from different combinations of foot measurements using linear and multiple regression analysis in a North Indian male population.

作者信息

Singh Bahadur, Krishan Kewal, Kaur Kawaljit, Kanchan Tanuj

机构信息

Department of Anthropology (UGC Centre of Advanced Study), Panjab University, Sector-14, Chandigarh, India.

Department of Anthropology (UGC Centre of Advanced Study), Panjab University, Sector-14, Chandigarh, India.

出版信息

J Forensic Leg Med. 2019 Feb;62:25-33. doi: 10.1016/j.jflm.2018.12.007. Epub 2018 Dec 23.

Abstract

Establishing the identity of the deceased is the most important task for forensic anthropologists in forensic case-work involving unidentified human remains. In such cases, forensic anthropologists examine the remains to derive the biological profile of the deceased i.e. estimation of age, sex, stature, and ethnicity to narrow down the search of the missing. Dismembered remains are recovered in mass disasters such as train mishaps, airplane crashes, earthquakes, and terrorists' attacks or in homicidal cases where perpetrator intentionally mutilates the dead body to conceal the identity of the victim. Stature estimation is considered as one of the most important tasks when a mutilated foot is recovered in process of narrowing down the pool of possible suspects/victims. Allometry is the underlying principle for estimation of stature from foot dimensions. It has been learnt from the published literature that multiple regression models including more than one factor enhances the estimation accuracies. Among the various foot dimensions, foot length is the most frequent parameter used in the estimation of stature in forensic literature. In the present study, an attempt has been made to standardize the stature estimation models from various possible combinations of foot dimensions. For this purpose, 388 Jatt Sikh males aged between 18 and 30 years were recruited from various villages of Ludhiana district of Punjab State in Northern India. Stature, five foot length measurements, and two foot breadth measurements were taken on each subject. Linear and multiple regression models were derived for the estimation of stature from various foot measurements. The highest coefficient of determination and estimation accuracy (the least standard error of estimation S.E.E) was observed from T1 (R = 0.397, S.E.E = 4.7109) when a single foot dimension was included in the model, (R = 0.416, S.E.E = 4.6425) from (T1, T3) when two-foot lengths were taken, (R = 0.418, S.E.E = 4.6426) from (T1, T3, T4) when three-foot lengths were included, (R = 0.418, S.E.E = 4.6473) from (T1, T3, T4, T5) when four-foot lengths were included, and (R = 0.418, S.E.E = 4.6531) when all the five foot lengths (T1, T2, T3, T4, T5) were included in the regression model. It has been concluded that multiple regression models provide more accurate results than linear regression models. However, inclusion of a factor having a weak correlation with stature in the regression model, decreases the accuracy of the model.

摘要

在涉及身份不明遗体的法医案件工作中,确定死者身份是法医人类学家最重要的任务。在此类案件中,法医人类学家检查遗体以得出死者的生物学特征,即估计年龄、性别、身高和种族,以缩小对失踪人员的搜索范围。在火车事故、飞机坠毁、地震和恐怖袭击等大规模灾难中,或在凶手故意肢解尸体以隐瞒受害者身份的杀人案件中,会发现被肢解的遗体。在缩小可能的嫌疑人/受害者范围的过程中找到一只被肢解的脚时,身高估计被认为是最重要的任务之一。异速生长是根据足部尺寸估计身高的基本原理。从已发表的文献中得知,包含多个因素的多元回归模型可提高估计准确性。在各种足部尺寸中,足长是法医文献中估计身高最常用的参数。在本研究中,已尝试从足部尺寸的各种可能组合中标准化身高估计模型。为此,从印度北部旁遮普邦卢迪亚纳区的各个村庄招募了388名年龄在18至30岁之间的贾特锡克族男性。对每个受试者测量身高、五个足长测量值和两个足宽测量值。从各种足部测量值中得出了用于估计身高的线性和多元回归模型。当模型中包含单个足部尺寸时,从T1观察到最高的决定系数和估计准确性(最小估计标准误差S.E.E)(R = 0.397,S.E.E = 4.7109),当采用两个足长时,从(T1,T3)观察到(R = 0.416,S.E.E = 4.6425),当包含三个足长时,从(T1,T3,T4)观察到(R = 0.418,S.E.E = 4.6426),当包含四个足长时,从(T1,T3,T4,T5)观察到(R = 0.418,S.E.E = 4.6473),当回归模型中包含所有五个足长(T1,T2,T3,T4,T5)时,观察到(R = 0.418,S.E.E = 4.6531)。得出的结论是,多元回归模型比线性回归模型提供更准确的结果。然而,在回归模型中纳入与身高相关性较弱的因素会降低模型的准确性。

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