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间隔、停止还是推迟?撒哈拉以南地区的生育意愿。

Spacing, Stopping, or Postponing? Fertility Desires in a Sub-Saharan Setting.

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Ohio State University, 238 Townshend Hall, 1885 Neil Avenue Mall, Columbus, OH, 43210-1404, USA.

Department of Sociology, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, 90095-1551, USA.

出版信息

Demography. 2019 Apr;56(2):573-594. doi: 10.1007/s13524-018-0754-8.

Abstract

A growing body of research has argued that the traditional categories of stopping and spacing are insufficient to understand why individuals want to control fertility. In a series of articles, Timæus, Moultrie, and colleagues defined a third type of fertility motivation-postponement-that reflects a desire to avoid childbearing in the short term without clear goals for long-term fertility. Although postponement is fundamentally a description of fertility desires, existing quantitative research has primarily studied fertility behavior in an effort to find evidence for the model. In this study, we use longitudinal survey data to consider whether postponement can be identified in standard measures of fertility desires among reproductive-age women in rural Mozambique. Findings show strong evidence for a postponement mindset in this population, but postponement coexists with stopping and spacing goals. We reflect on the difference between birth spacing and postponement and consider whether and how postponement is a distinctive sub-Saharan phenomenon.

摘要

越来越多的研究认为,传统的停止和间隔类别不足以理解为什么个人想要控制生育。在一系列文章中,Timæus、Moultrie 和同事们定义了第三种生育动机——推迟,这反映了在短期内避免生育的愿望,而没有明确的长期生育目标。尽管推迟从根本上说是对生育愿望的描述,但现有的定量研究主要研究了生育行为,以努力为该模型找到证据。在这项研究中,我们使用纵向调查数据来考虑推迟是否可以在莫桑比克农村地区育龄妇女的生育愿望的标准衡量标准中识别出来。研究结果表明,在该人群中存在强烈的推迟心态的证据,但推迟与停止和间隔目标并存。我们反思了生育间隔和推迟之间的区别,并考虑推迟是否以及如何成为撒哈拉以南非洲地区的一个独特现象。

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