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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值对多支血管病变急性心肌梗死患者长期预后的预测价值

[Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio on long-term outcomes of acute myocardial infarction patients with multivessel disease].

作者信息

Xu N, Tang X F, Xu J J, Yao Y, Song Y, Liu R, Jiang L, Jiang P, Wang H H, Zhao X Y, Chen J, Gao Z, Qiao S B, Yang Y J, Gao R L, Xu B, Yuan J Q

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 100037, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Xin Xue Guan Bing Za Zhi. 2019 Jan 24;47(1):42-48. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0253-3758.2019.01.005.

Abstract

Patients with acute coronary syndrome due to multivessel disease (MVD) were at the highest risk of adverse cardiovascular events. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was proposed as a marker of cardiovascular risk. Present study evaluated the independent predictive value of NLR for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with MVD. AMI patients with MVD (1 433) underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between January 2013 and December 2013 were followed up for 2 years. Patients were divided into 2 sub-groups based on an optimal cut off value of NLR to predict 2-year all-cause mortality. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. The secondary endpoint was long-term major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). By receiver operating characteristics curve analysis, the optimal cut-off value of admission NLR to predict 2-year all-cause mortality was 3.39 (area under the curve 0.765, sensitivity 71%, specificity 73%). The high NLR group(396) had higher prevalence of prior myocardial infarction, prior PCI and intra-aortic balloon pump use (IABP)(0.01). Compared to the low NLR group (1 037), patients in the high NLR group were older, had higher level of neutrophil count and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) (0.001), but lower level of lymphocyte count, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and ejection fraction (0.001). During the follow-up period, rate of long-term all-cause death was significantly higher in the high NLR group than in the low NLR group (5.1% (20/396) vs. 0.8% (8/1 037), 0.001). Cardiac death (4.0% (16/396) vs. 0.7% (7/1 037), 0.001) and MACCE (21.7% (86/396) vs. 12.6% (131/1 037), 0.001) were also significantly higher in the high NLR group than in the low NLR group. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that NLR ≥ 3.39 was determined as an independent predictor of 2-year all-cause mortality (=3.23, 95% 1.38-7.54, 0.007) and MACCE (=1.58, 95% 1.19-2.10, 0.002) in this patient cohort after adjusting for other risk factors. Correlation analysis showed that the NLR was positively correlated with hs-CRP levels (0.241, 0.001). Our study demonstrates that admission NLR ≥ 3.39 is an independent predictor of long term all cause death and MACCE in AMI patients with MVD post PCI.

摘要

患有多支血管疾病(MVD)的急性冠状动脉综合征患者发生不良心血管事件的风险最高。中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)被提议作为心血管风险的标志物。本研究评估了NLR对患有MVD的急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者的独立预测价值。2013年1月至2013年12月期间,1433例患有MVD的AMI患者接受了经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI),并进行了2年的随访。根据NLR的最佳截断值将患者分为两个亚组,以预测2年全因死亡率。主要终点是全因死亡。次要终点是长期主要不良心血管和脑血管事件(MACCE)。通过受试者工作特征曲线分析,入院时NLR预测2年全因死亡率的最佳截断值为3.39(曲线下面积0.765,敏感性71%,特异性73%)。高NLR组(396例)既往心肌梗死、既往PCI和主动脉内球囊反搏(IABP)使用的患病率更高(P<0.01)。与低NLR组(1037例)相比,高NLR组患者年龄更大,中性粒细胞计数和高敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)水平更高(P<0.001),但淋巴细胞计数、估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)和射血分数水平更低(P<0.001)。在随访期间,高NLR组的长期全因死亡率显著高于低NLR组(5.1%(20/396)对0.8%(8/1037),P<0.001)。高NLR组的心源性死亡(4.0%(16/396)对0.7%(7/1037),P<0.001)和MACCE(21.7%(86/396)对12.6%(131/1037),P<0.001)也显著高于低NLR组。多变量Cox分析显示,在调整其他危险因素后,NLR≥3.39被确定为该患者队列中2年全因死亡率(HR=3.23,95%CI 1.38-7.54,P=0.007)和MACCE(HR=1.58,95%CI 1.19-2.10,P=0.002)的独立预测因素。相关性分析显示,NLR与hs-CRP水平呈正相关(r=0.241,P=0.001)。我们的研究表明,入院时NLR≥3.39是PCI术后患有MVD的AMI患者长期全因死亡和MACCE的独立预测因素。

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