Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
BMJ Open. 2019 Jan 21;9(1):e023996. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023996.
To examine the association between history of miscarriage and fecundability (the cycle-specific probability of conception).
Nationwide prospective cohort study using web-based questionnaires.
Denmark, 2007-2012.
977 women attempting to conceive, not using fertility treatment, and with a reproductive history of only miscarriage or only live birth.
Information on previous pregnancy outcomes, including miscarriage, came from self-report or from relevant registries. Participants were followed for up to 12 months or until they reported a pregnancy, stopped trying to conceive or started fertility treatment, whichever came first. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to estimate cumulative probabilities of conception for women whose reproductive history included only miscarriage or only live birth. Using proportional probabilities regression modelling, we computed fecundability ratios (FR) with 95% CI comparing women with a history of only miscarriage with women with a history of only live birth.
After adjustment for potential confounders, the cumulative probabilities of conception within 12 cycles of follow-up were 85% (95% CI 81% to 89%) for women with a history of 1 miscarriage, 85% (95% CI 73% to 92%) for women with a history of ≥2 miscarriages and 88% (95% CI 87% to 89%) for women whose reproductive history included only live birth. Adjusted FRs were 0.87 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.07) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.36 to 1.17) for women with a history of 1 and ≥2 miscarriages, respectively.
Our results indicate that women with a history of miscarriage may have slightly reduced fecundability compared with women with a history of only live birth. The reduction in fecundability was greater for women with repeated miscarriages, although the estimates were imprecise. Despite a potential delay in conception, women with previous miscarriage may have similar probability of pregnancy by 12 cycles of attempts to women with proven fertility.
研究流产史与受孕能力(特定周期妊娠概率)之间的关联。
全国范围内使用基于网络的问卷调查进行的前瞻性队列研究。
丹麦,2007-2012 年。
977 名试图怀孕、未使用生育治疗且仅有流产或活产史的女性。
既往妊娠结局(包括流产)信息来自自我报告或相关登记处。参与者随访时间最长达 12 个月或直至报告怀孕、停止尝试怀孕或开始生育治疗,以先发生者为准。我们使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法估计仅有流产史或仅有活产史的女性受孕的累积概率。使用比例概率回归模型,我们计算了流产史女性与仅有活产史女性的受孕能力比值(FR)及其 95%置信区间。
在调整了潜在混杂因素后,12 个周期随访内的受孕累积概率分别为:有 1 次流产史的女性为 85%(95%CI 81%-89%)、有≥2 次流产史的女性为 85%(95%CI 73%-92%)、仅有活产史的女性为 88%(95%CI 87%-89%)。调整后的 FR 分别为 0.87(95%CI 0.71-1.07)和 0.65(95%CI 0.36-1.17),分别代表有 1 次和≥2 次流产史的女性。
我们的研究结果表明,与仅有活产史的女性相比,流产史女性的受孕能力可能略有降低。多次流产的女性受孕能力下降幅度更大,但估计值并不精确。尽管受孕可能延迟,但在尝试 12 个周期后,有既往流产史的女性怀孕的可能性与生育能力得到证实的女性相似。