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基于网络的美国东南部草莓炭疽病和灰霉病预测系统控制效果的Meta 分析

Meta-Analysis of a Web-Based Disease Forecast System for Control of Anthracnose and Botrytis Fruit Rots of Strawberry in Southeastern United States.

机构信息

Gulf Coast Research and Education Center (GCREC-UF), University of Florida, Wimauma 33598.

Department of Plant Pathology, The Ohio State University, Wooster 44691.

出版信息

Plant Dis. 2017 Nov;101(11):1910-1917. doi: 10.1094/PDIS-04-17-0477-RE. Epub 2017 Aug 25.

Abstract

Strawberry production in Florida and South Carolina is affected by two major diseases, anthracnose fruit rot (AFR) and Botrytis fruit rot (BFR), caused by Colletotrichum acutatum and Botrytis cinerea, respectively. The effective management of both diseases traditionally relied on weekly fungicide applications. However, to improve timing and reduce the number of fungicide sprays, many growers follow the Strawberry Advisory System (StAS), a decision support system for forecasting fungicide applications based on environmental conditions and previously developed models. The objective of this study was to perform a meta-analysis to determine the effectiveness of the StAS for AFR and BFR management compared with a calendar-based spray program. Thirty-nine trials were conducted from 2009 to 2014 in Florida and South Carolina commercial strawberry fields. Meta-analysis was conducted to quantify the treatment effects on four effect sizes, all based on the difference in response variables for StAS and the calendar-based treatments in each trial. The mean difference in BFR incidence, AFR incidence, yield, and number of marketable fruit between the two treatments was not significantly different from 0 (P < 0.05). However, the number of fungicide applications per season was reduced by a median of seven when using the StAS, a 50% reduction in sprays compared with the calendar-based approach. Effect sizes were not influenced by location or the favorability of the environment for disease development. These findings indicate that use of StAS in commercial fields is effective in controlling fruit rot diseases with no reduction in yield while substantially reducing fungicide applications.

摘要

佛罗里达州和南卡罗来纳州的草莓生产受到两种主要疾病的影响,炭疽果腐病(AFR)和灰霉果腐病(BFR),分别由炭疽菌和灰葡萄孢引起。这两种疾病的有效管理传统上依赖于每周使用杀菌剂。然而,为了提高时机并减少杀菌剂喷雾次数,许多种植者遵循草莓咨询系统(StAS),这是一种基于环境条件和先前开发的模型预测杀菌剂应用的决策支持系统。本研究的目的是进行荟萃分析,以确定 StAS 对 AFR 和 BFR 管理的有效性,与基于日历的喷雾方案进行比较。2009 年至 2014 年在佛罗里达州和南卡罗来纳州的商业草莓田进行了 39 次试验。荟萃分析是为了量化四种效果大小的处理效果,所有这些效果大小都是基于每个试验中 StAS 和基于日历的处理之间响应变量的差异。两种处理之间的 BFR 发病率、AFR 发病率、产量和可销售水果数量的平均差异与 0 没有显著差异(P<0.05)。然而,使用 StAS 时,每个季节的杀菌剂应用次数中位数减少了 7 次,与基于日历的方法相比,喷雾次数减少了 50%。效果大小不受位置或环境对疾病发展的有利性的影响。这些发现表明,在商业领域使用 StAS 可以有效控制水果腐烂病,而不会降低产量,同时大大减少杀菌剂的使用。

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