Sarcoma Service, Department of Surgery, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Unit of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, Department of Applied Research and Technological Development, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Eur J Cancer. 2019 Mar;109:51-60. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2018.12.009. Epub 2019 Jan 25.
This study was aimed at determining whether patients with high-risk soft tissue sarcoma (STS), as identified using the nomogram Sarculator, benefitted from adjuvant chemotherapy in the EORTC-STBSG 62931 randomised controlled trial (RCT), which failed to detect an impact for adjuvant doxorubicin plus ifosfamide (Adj) over observation (Obs).
Patients with extremity and trunk wall STS in the EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT were analysed (N = 290/351). Ten-year predicted probability of overall survival (pr-OS) was calculated using the prognostic nomogram Sarculator. Patients were grouped into three categories of predicted pr-OS: high (pr-OS>66%), intermediate (51<pr-OS≤66) and low (pr-OS≤51%). OS and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated.
Nomogram pr-OS was dispersed (median 72%, interquartile range 57-83%) and had prognostic value for OS and DFS (log-rank test: P < 0.001). One hundred seventy, 68 and 52 patients had high (58.6%, 90 Obs/80 Adj), intermediate (23.5%, 34 Obs/34 Adj) and low pr-OS (17.9%, 24 Obs/28 Adj), respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy halved the risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24-0.89) and death (HR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.23-0.94) in the low pr-OS category, while no effect was detected in intermediate and high pr-OS categories. To strengthen these findings, study participants with pr-OS<60% were combined (N = 80, 27.6%, 39 Obs/41 Adj), and a significant DFS (HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.28-0.85) and OS (HR = 0.50, 95% CI 0.30-0.90) benefit was detected.
Patients of the EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT with extremity and trunk wall STS and a low predicted pr-OS (high-risk patients) had better outcomes when treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. This may help reconcile the disparate results of clinical studies on adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy in STS.
本研究旨在确定使用 Sarculator 预测的高危软组织肉瘤(STS)患者是否从 EORTC-STBSG 62931 随机对照试验(RCT)中的辅助化疗中获益,该试验未能检测到辅助多柔比星加异环磷酰胺(Adj)对观察(Obs)的影响。
对 EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT 中的肢体和躯干壁 STS 患者进行分析(N=290/351)。使用预后预测计 Sarculator 计算 10 年总生存预测概率(pr-OS)。患者分为三组预测 pr-OS:高(pr-OS>66%)、中(51<pr-OS≤66%)和低(pr-OS≤51%)。计算 OS 和无病生存(DFS)。
nomogram pr-OS 分布广泛(中位数 72%,四分位距 57-83%),对 OS 和 DFS 具有预后价值(对数秩检验:P<0.001)。170 例、68 例和 52 例患者的高(58.6%,90 Obs/80 Adj)、中(23.5%,34 Obs/34 Adj)和低 pr-OS(17.9%,24 Obs/28 Adj)。在低 pr-OS 组中,辅助化疗使复发风险降低了一半(风险比 [HR] = 0.46,95%置信区间 [CI] 0.24-0.89)和死亡风险(HR=0.46,95%CI 0.23-0.94),而在中、高 pr-OS 组中未检测到效果。为了加强这些发现,将 pr-OS<60%的研究参与者合并(N=80,27.6%,39 Obs/41 Adj),并检测到显著的 DFS(HR=0.49,95%CI 0.28-0.85)和 OS(HR=0.50,95%CI 0.30-0.90)获益。
EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT 中肢体和躯干壁 STS 患者,且预测 pr-OS 较低(高危患者)时,辅助化疗的效果更好。这可能有助于解释 STS 辅助/新辅助化疗临床研究结果的差异。