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针对孟加拉国受砷污染风险家庭的目标定位:空间分析。

Targeting at risk households in Bangladesh exposed to arsenic contamination: a spatial analysis.

机构信息

Centre for Research and Action in Public Health (CeRAPH), Health Research Institute (HRI), University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia.

Data61, CSIRO, Canberra, Australia.

出版信息

Int J Environ Health Res. 2020 Feb;30(1):1-12. doi: 10.1080/09603123.2019.1570488. Epub 2019 Jan 29.

Abstract

This study seeks to identify the spatial risk pattern of households (HHs) exposed to arsenic contamination in Bangladesh by adjusting potential socio-economic, demographic factors. Data from Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2012-13 are used where hierarchical Bayesian spatial ordered logit model is implemented. The analysis shows that 25% of HH water samples were arsenic contaminated, although the majority (95%) of HHs used improved water sources. Arsenic contamination risk in the HH water was significantly associated with water source type and location, place of residence and districts. The model-based spatial prediction reveals that the north-east and south-west parts of Bangladesh have a high risk of contamination. To ensure the quality of HH water, our findings suggest that chemical test should be promoted considering the spatial risk of arsenic contaminations variations among HHs of Bangladesh. Furthermore, the study findings can effectively contribute in the planning of future interventions and programs.

摘要

本研究旨在通过调整潜在的社会经济和人口因素,确定孟加拉国受砷污染影响的家庭(HH)的空间风险模式。该研究使用了 2012-13 年孟加拉国多指标类集调查的数据,其中实施了分层贝叶斯空间有序逻辑模型。分析表明,尽管大多数 HH(95%)使用了改良水源,但 25%的 HH 水样受到砷污染。HH 水中砷污染的风险与水源类型和位置、居住地点和地区显著相关。基于模型的空间预测表明,孟加拉国的东北部和西南部地区存在高污染风险。为确保 HH 水的质量,我们的研究结果表明,应考虑孟加拉国 HH 之间砷污染的空间风险变化,推广化学测试。此外,研究结果可以为未来的干预和规划项目提供有效支持。

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