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[接受者操作特征曲线:决策辅助工具。通过一些示例说明原理及应用]

[Receiver operating curve, an aid in decision making. Principles and applications illustrated with some examples].

作者信息

Vinatier D, Monnier J C

机构信息

Service de Gynécologie-Obstétrique, C.H.U., Lille.

出版信息

J Gynecol Obstet Biol Reprod (Paris). 1988;17(8):981-9.

PMID:3069898
Abstract

The practitioner has many difficult questions to resolve when he has placed in front of him more and more diagnostic and screening tests. Which is, in a given situation, the best test, by which is meant useful, least costly and most acceptable by the patient? Having chosen the test, at what level is the result to be considered positive or negative? The authors, having explained the principles and having taken some examples out of the literature of gynaecology and obstetrics, present a technique that shows on a receiver operating characteristic curve sensitivity and specificity sharing as a function of the possible levels for making decisions according to the test. The curve inordinate shows the sensitivity of the test or the number of true positives and on the abscissa the complement of specificity or the rate of false positives ford each decision threshold of the test. A simple glance gives the practitioner a view of the characteristics of the test over the whole band that this test can use. Using these curves it is possible to adopt more elaborate techniques to select the best threshold and to compare different tests.

摘要

当越来越多的诊断和筛查测试摆在从业者面前时,他有许多难题需要解决。在特定情况下,哪项测试是最佳的?这里所说的最佳测试是指有用、成本最低且最易被患者接受的测试。选定测试后,结果在何种水平应被视为阳性或阴性?作者在解释了相关原理并从妇产科文献中选取了一些例子后,提出了一种技术,该技术在接收者操作特征曲线上展示了敏感度和特异度如何作为根据测试进行决策的可能水平的函数。纵坐标显示测试的敏感度或真阳性数量,横坐标显示特异度的补数或测试每个决策阈值的假阳性率。只需简单一瞥,从业者就能了解该测试在其可使用的整个范围内的特征。利用这些曲线,可以采用更精细的技术来选择最佳阈值并比较不同的测试。

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