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卷云中的人为气溶胶间接效应。

Anthropogenic Aerosol Indirect Effects in Cirrus Clouds.

作者信息

Penner Joyce E, Zhou Cheng, Garnier Anne, Mitchell David L

机构信息

Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA.

Science Systems and Applications, Inc. Hampton VA USA.

出版信息

J Geophys Res Atmos. 2018 Oct 27;123(20):11652-11677. doi: 10.1029/2018JD029204. Epub 2018 Oct 30.

Abstract

We have implemented a parameterization for forming ice in large-scale cirrus clouds that accounts for the changes in updrafts associated with a spectrum of waves acting within each time step in the model. This allows us to account for the frequency of homogeneous and heterogeneous freezing events that occur within each time step of the model and helps to determine more realistic ice number concentrations as well as changes to ice number concentrations. The model is able to fit observations of ice number at the lowest temperatures in the tropical tropopause but is still somewhat high in tropical latitudes with temperatures between 195°K and 215°K. The climate forcings associated with different representations of heterogeneous ice nuclei (IN or INPs) are primarily negative unless large additions of IN are made, such as when we assumed that all aircraft soot acts as an IN. However, they can be close to zero if it is assumed that all background dust can act as an INP irrespective of how much sulfate is deposited on these particles. Our best estimate for the forcing of anthropogenic aircraft soot in this model is -0.2 ± 0.06 W/m, while that from anthropogenic fossil/biofuel soot is -0.093 ± 0.033 W/m. Natural and anthropogenic open biomass burning leads to a net forcing of -0.057 ± 0.05 W/m.

摘要

我们已经实现了一种用于在大规模卷云中形成冰的参数化方法,该方法考虑了与模型中每个时间步长内一系列波动相关的上升气流变化。这使我们能够考虑模型每个时间步长内发生的均匀和非均匀冻结事件的频率,并有助于确定更现实的冰粒子数浓度以及冰粒子数浓度的变化。该模型能够拟合热带对流层最低温度下的冰粒子数观测值,但在热带纬度地区,温度在195°K至215°K之间时,该模型给出的冰粒子数仍略高。除非大量添加冰核(IN或INPs),否则与不同形式的非均匀冰核相关的气候强迫主要为负,例如当我们假设所有飞机烟尘都充当冰核时。然而,如果假设所有背景尘埃都可以充当冰核粒子(INP),而不管这些粒子上沉积了多少硫酸盐,那么气候强迫可能接近零。在该模型中,我们对人为飞机烟尘强迫的最佳估计为-0.2±0.06W/m²,而人为化石/生物燃料烟尘的强迫为-0.093±0.033W/m²。自然和人为的露天生物质燃烧导致的净强迫为-0.057±0.05W/m²。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e8a9/6360521/87526ad7a705/JGRD-123-11652-g001.jpg

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