Justice-Allen Anne, Clement Matthew J
1 Arizona Game and Fish Department, 5000 W Carefree Hwy., Phoenix, Arizona 85086, USA.
J Wildl Dis. 2019 Jul;55(3):682-688. Epub 2019 Feb 25.
Mexican wolves (), classified as probably extinct in the wild in Mexico and endangered in the US, were reintroduced into Arizona in 1998. We combined annual serologic testing results from samples collected between 2003 and 2016 from 108 wolves and known survival data from 118 wolves born in the recovery area from 2003 to 2014 to evaluate whether exposure to canine distemper virus (CDV) or canine parvovirus (CPV) was associated with a greater risk of mortality before 2 yr of age. We used mixed-effects logistic regression to estimate the effect of CDV and CPV on the probability of mortality. Annual seroprevalence rates for CDV and CPV ranged from 0% to 62% and from 33% to 100%, respectively (median, 14.2% and 90.3%, respectively). The covariate, age at testing, had a negative effect on mortality, indicating that younger animals had lower survival, whereas sex had little effect on mortality. The best-supported model excluded any effect of CPV or CDV on death before 2 yr old at both the pack and individual level. Although our analysis did not detect an effect of these viruses on mortality before 2 yr old, CDV was later identified as the cause of mortality in two individuals in 2017. Additional information is needed to assess the impact of these diseases on Mexican wolves.
墨西哥狼在墨西哥野外可能已灭绝,在美国则濒临灭绝,1998年被重新引入亚利桑那州。我们将2003年至2016年从108只狼身上采集的样本的年度血清学检测结果,与2003年至2014年在恢复区出生的118只狼的已知存活数据相结合,以评估感染犬瘟热病毒(CDV)或犬细小病毒(CPV)是否与2岁前更高的死亡风险相关。我们使用混合效应逻辑回归来估计CDV和CPV对死亡概率的影响。CDV和CPV的年度血清阳性率分别为0%至62%和33%至100%(中位数分别为14.2%和90.3%)。协变量检测时的年龄对死亡率有负面影响,表明较年轻的动物存活率较低,而性别对死亡率影响不大。得到最佳支持的模型排除了CPV或CDV在狼群和个体层面上对2岁前死亡的任何影响。尽管我们的分析未检测到这些病毒对2岁前死亡率的影响,但CDV后来被确定为2017年两只狼的死因。需要更多信息来评估这些疾病对墨西哥狼的影响。