Sørensen S A, Mulvihill J J, Nielsen A
N Engl J Med. 1986 Apr 17;314(16):1010-5. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198604173141603.
To document the natural history of von Recklinghausen neurofibromatosis, we followed up a nationwide cohort of 212 affected patients and families identified in Denmark 42 years ago. We obtained follow-up information on 99 percent. Because all 76 probands were identified through hospitals, they may include a disproportionate number of severe cases of neurofibromatosis. To diminish this effect of selection bias, we distinguished between the probands and their affected relatives. In a comparison with the general population, survival rates were significantly impaired in relatives with neurofibromatosis, worse in probands, and worst in female probands. Malignant neoplasms or benign central nervous system tumors occurred in 45 percent of the probands, giving a relative risk of 4.0 (95 percent confidence limits, 2.8 to 5.6) as compared with expected numbers. Multiple primary neoplasms were found in 15 probands, but only 1 relative. Compared with the general population, male relatives with neurofibromatosis had the same rate of neoplasms, whereas female relatives had a nearly twofold higher rate (relative risk, 1.9; 1.1 to 3.1). Nervous system tumors were disproportionately represented. We conclude that patients with severe neurofibromatosis requiring hospitalization often have a poor prognosis, but incidentally diagnosed relatives may have a considerably better outcome.
为记录冯·雷克林豪森神经纤维瘤病的自然病史,我们对42年前在丹麦确定的212名受影响患者及家庭进行了全国性队列随访。我们获得了99%的随访信息。由于所有76名先证者均通过医院确诊,他们可能包含比例失衡的神经纤维瘤病重症病例。为减少这种选择偏倚的影响,我们区分了先证者及其受影响的亲属。与普通人群相比,神经纤维瘤病患者亲属的生存率显著受损,先证者情况更糟,女性先证者最差。45%的先证者发生了恶性肿瘤或中枢神经系统良性肿瘤,与预期数量相比,相对风险为4.0(95%置信区间,2.8至5.6)。在15名先证者中发现了多发原发性肿瘤,但仅有1名亲属出现这种情况。与普通人群相比,患有神经纤维瘤病的男性亲属的肿瘤发生率相同,而女性亲属的发生率几乎高出一倍(相对风险,1.9;1.1至3.1)。神经系统肿瘤所占比例过高。我们得出结论,需要住院治疗的重症神经纤维瘤病患者预后往往较差,但偶然确诊的亲属可能预后要好得多。