Mouchet Julie, Bégaud Bernard
Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Team Pharmacoepidemiology, UMR 1219, F-33000 Bordeaux, France.
Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Team Pharmacoepidemiology, UMR 1219, F-33000 Bordeaux, France.
Vaccine. 2019 Apr 3;37(15):2142-2148. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.02.046. Epub 2019 Mar 6.
Confidence in vaccines is essential for achieving targeted immunization coverage. The current skepticism about vaccine safety feeds on controversies such as the suspicion about a link between hepatitis B (HB) vaccination and central demyelination (CD) after the massive HB immunization campaign in France in 1994-2000. This study assesses the robustness of this signal by analysing all validated cases reported in 1980-2000 and by conducting observed-to-expected (OE) comparisons.
After characterizing case profiles, reporting rates per 1,000,000 vaccine doses sold were computed for the period and per year. OE comparisons were conducted by using individual-based and person-year approaches and were stratified by gender.
A total of 624CD cases including 422 incident cases of multiple sclerosis (MS) were reported over 20 years. Women accounted for 73.2% (n = 457). Mean age was 29.8 years (SD = 11.1). Incidence of events peaked in 1995-1996 and 1997, these years accounting for 59.8% (n = 373) of cases. Events were mainly reported after booster doses (46.3%, n = 289). The overall reporting rate was 6.5 per 1,000,000 doses sold. The OE analyses produced inconclusive results, the number of observed cases remaining below the expected number.
The complete disjunction between target and joint populations in the 1990s French HB immunization campaign created an unpreceded situation with ∼26 million of adults exposed at the age of MS onset. Two findings are noteworthy: the non-random distribution of reports according to the rank of vaccination or years of survey, and the fact that the number of reports sometimes approached the baseline incidence of MS, irrespective of underreporting. While the nature of the link remains unclear, our results are not consistent with a strong association between HB vaccine and MS. Current recommendations targeting newborns with a possible catch-up of at-risk adults should remain the preferred strategy in low-endemic countries.
对疫苗的信心对于实现目标免疫覆盖率至关重要。当前对疫苗安全性的怀疑源于一些争议,比如在1994 - 2000年法国大规模乙肝疫苗接种运动后,人们怀疑乙肝疫苗接种与中枢脱髓鞘病变之间存在关联。本研究通过分析1980 - 2000年报告的所有确诊病例并进行观察值与预期值(OE)比较,来评估这一关联信号的稳健性。
在对病例特征进行描述后,计算该时间段及每年每售出100万剂疫苗的报告率。采用基于个体和人年的方法进行OE比较,并按性别分层。
在20年期间共报告了624例中枢脱髓鞘病变病例,其中包括422例多发性硬化症(MS)新发病例。女性占73.2%(n = 457)。平均年龄为29.8岁(标准差 = 11.1)。事件发生率在1995 - 1996年和1997年达到峰值,这两年的病例占59.8%(n = 373)。事件主要在加强剂量后报告(46.3%,n = 289)。总体报告率为每售出100万剂6.5例。OE分析结果不明确,观察到的病例数仍低于预期数。
20世纪90年代法国乙肝疫苗接种运动中目标人群与联合人群之间的完全脱节创造了一种前所未有的情况,约2600万成年人在多发性硬化症发病年龄时暴露。有两个发现值得注意:报告根据疫苗接种顺序或调查年份的分布并非随机,以及报告数量有时接近多发性硬化症的基线发病率,而不论报告不足的情况。虽然这种关联的性质仍不清楚,但我们的结果并不支持乙肝疫苗与多发性硬化症之间存在强关联。在低流行国家,当前针对新生儿并可能对高危成年人进行补种的建议仍应是首选策略。