Genome Institute of Singapore, Genome, Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
School of Biological Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
PLoS One. 2019 Mar 11;14(3):e0213615. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0213615. eCollection 2019.
False-positive recall is an issue in national screening programmes. The aim of this study is to investigate the recall rate at first screen and to identify potential predictors of false-positive recall in a multi-ethnic Asian population-based breast cancer screening programme.
Women aged 50-64 years attending screening mammography for the first time (n = 25,318) were included in this study. The associations between potential predictors (sociodemographic, lifestyle and reproductive) and false-positive recall were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models.
The recall rate was 7.6% (n = 1,923), of which with 93.8% were false-positive. Factors independently associated with higher false-positive recall included Indian ethnicity (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.52 [1.25 to 1.84]), premenopause (1.23 [1.04 to 1.44]), nulliparity (1.85 [1.57 to 2.17]), recent breast symptoms (1.72 [1.31 to 2.23]) and history of breast lump excision (1.87 [1.53 to 2.26]). Factors associated with lower risk of false-positive recall included older age at screen (0.84 [0.73 to 0.97]) and use of oral contraceptives (0.87 [0.78 to 0.97]). After further adjustment of percent mammographic density, associations with older age at screening (0.97 [0.84 to 1.11]) and menopausal status (1.12 [0.95 to 1.32]) were attenuated and no longer significant.
For every breast cancer identified, 15 women without cancer were subjected to further testing. Efforts to educate Asian women on what it means to be recalled will be useful in reducing unnecessary stress and anxiety.
假阳性召回是国家筛查项目中的一个问题。本研究旨在调查首次筛查的召回率,并确定多民族亚洲人群乳腺癌筛查项目中假阳性召回的潜在预测因素。
本研究纳入了首次接受筛查性乳房 X 线摄影检查的年龄在 50-64 岁的女性(n=25318)。使用多变量逻辑回归模型评估潜在预测因素(社会人口统计学、生活方式和生殖)与假阳性召回之间的关联。
召回率为 7.6%(n=1923),其中 93.8%为假阳性。与更高的假阳性召回率相关的因素包括印度裔(比值比[95%置信区间]:1.52[1.25 至 1.84])、绝经前(1.23[1.04 至 1.44])、未婚(1.85[1.57 至 2.17])、最近出现乳房症状(1.72[1.31 至 2.23])和乳房肿块切除史(1.87[1.53 至 2.26])。与假阳性召回风险较低相关的因素包括筛查时年龄较大(0.84[0.73 至 0.97])和使用口服避孕药(0.87[0.78 至 0.97])。进一步调整乳腺密度百分比后,与筛查时年龄较大(0.97[0.84 至 1.11])和绝经状态(1.12[0.95 至 1.32])的关联减弱且不再显著。
每发现 1 例乳腺癌,就有 15 例无癌症的女性需要进一步检查。教育亚洲女性假阳性召回的含义将有助于减少不必要的压力和焦虑。