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1998年和2013年巴西及主要地区无残疾预期寿命估计。

Disability-free life expectancy estimates for Brazil and Major Regions, 1998 and 2013.

作者信息

Camargos Mirela Castro Santos, Gonzaga Marcos Roberto, Costa José Vilton, Bomfim Wanderson Costa

机构信息

Departamento de Enfermagem Aplicada, Escola de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG). Av. Prof. Alfredo Balena 190, Santa Efigênia. 30130-100 Belo Horizonte MG Brasil.

Departamento de Demografia e Ciências Atuariais, Centro de Ciências Exatas e da Terra, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte. Natal RN Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2019 Mar;24(3):737-747. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232018243.07612017.

Abstract

Life expectancy at age 60 in Brazil has increased by around nine years in a little over 50 years. This general gain in life expectancy at national level has been heterogeneous across the country's major regions. Furthermore, little is known about how increases in life expectancy at age 60 across regions influence the number of years lived with some form of associated disability or the number of years lived free from disability. This study aimed to analyze increases in total life expectancy and its components [disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) and disability life expectancy (DLE)] at ages 60, 70, and 80 in Brazil and Major Regions in 1998 and 2013. The study used data on disability obtained from the 1998 National Household Sample Survey (PNAD - acronym in Portuguese) and 2013 National Health Survey (PNS- acronym in Portuguese) and used the Sullivan method to estimate DFLE by sex and age. The findings show that there was an increase in life expectancy and a concomitant increase in DFLE between 1998 and 2013. However, the gains in DFLE were not statistically significant in the North and Center-west regions. This means that, with the exception of the latter regions, in addition to living longer, the Brazils population aged 60 years can expect to live a greater number of healthy years.

摘要

在短短50多年的时间里,巴西60岁时的预期寿命增加了约9岁。全国层面预期寿命的总体增长在该国主要地区并不均衡。此外,对于各地区60岁时预期寿命的增加如何影响伴有某种残疾形式的生存年数或无残疾生存年数,人们了解甚少。本研究旨在分析1998年和2013年巴西及主要地区60岁、70岁和80岁时的总预期寿命及其组成部分[无残疾预期寿命(DFLE)和残疾预期寿命(DLE)]的增长情况。该研究使用了从1998年全国家庭抽样调查(PNAD,葡萄牙语首字母缩写)和2013年全国健康调查(PNS,葡萄牙语首字母缩写)中获得的残疾数据,并采用沙利文方法按性别和年龄估计DFLE。研究结果表明,1998年至2013年期间预期寿命有所增加,同时DFLE也相应增加。然而,北部和中西部地区DFLE的增长在统计学上并不显著。这意味着,除了后两个地区外,60岁的巴西人口除了寿命更长外,还可以预期拥有更多的健康年份。

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