Souza Donatila Barbieri de Oliveira, Alves Luciana Correia, Barros Marilisa Berti de Azevedo, Fehlberg Bruna Kelly, Lima Margareth Guimarães
Faculdade de Ciências Médicas, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, Brasil.
Instituto de Filosofia e Ciências Humanas, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, Brasil.
Cad Saude Publica. 2025 Mar 24;41(3):e00054624. doi: 10.1590/0102-311XEN054624. eCollection 2025.
The aim was to investigate survival and risk of death within a ten-year period according to physical functioning and frequency of the feeling of happiness in older people, conducting an analysis of the possible mediating effect of happiness on the association between physical functioning and mortality. A retrospective longitudinal study was conducted with 1,519 older people (≥ 60 years) interviewed for the 2008/2009 Health Survey in Campinas. A linkage was made between the databank of the survey and the Campinas Mortality Information System, with active search for confirmation of deaths and non-deaths from 2008 to 2018. Variables of interest were physical functioning (absence/presence of limitations) and frequency of feeling happiness. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted and Cox regression analysis was performed to estimate hazard ratios (HR). A mediation analysis was also conducted using the Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) method. In the adjusted analysis, severe functional limitation (HR = 2.8; 95%CI: 2.0-3.8) and low frequency of happiness (HR = 1.6; 95%CI: 1.3-2.0) increased the risk of death in the period. Low frequency of happiness mediated the association between functioning and mortality by 14%. The results underscore the importance of strategies to maintain physical functioning during aging. Moreover, a greater frequency of the feeling of happiness increased the survival of the population. The findings also show that happiness plays an important mediating role in the association between functioning and mortality in older people.
目的是根据老年人的身体功能和幸福感频率,调查其十年内的生存率和死亡风险,并分析幸福感在身体功能与死亡率之间关联中可能起到的中介作用。对1519名60岁及以上的老年人进行了一项回顾性纵向研究,这些老年人参加了2008/2009年坎皮纳斯健康调查的访谈。将调查数据库与坎皮纳斯死亡率信息系统进行了关联,积极查找2008年至2018年期间死亡和未死亡的确认信息。感兴趣的变量是身体功能(有无限制)和幸福感频率。绘制了Kaplan-Meier生存曲线,并进行了Cox回归分析以估计风险比(HR)。还使用卡尔森-霍尔姆-布林(KHB)方法进行了中介分析。在调整分析中,严重功能受限(HR = 2.8;95%CI:2.0 - 3.8)和低幸福感频率(HR = 1.6;95%CI:1.3 - 2.0)增加了该时期的死亡风险。低幸福感频率介导了功能与死亡率之间14%的关联。结果强调了在衰老过程中维持身体功能策略的重要性。此外,更高的幸福感频率提高了人群的生存率。研究结果还表明,幸福感在老年人功能与死亡率之间的关联中起着重要的中介作用。