Department of Psychology.
Psychol Methods. 2019 Dec;24(6):708-734. doi: 10.1037/met0000215. Epub 2019 Apr 4.
Studying the time-related course of psychological processes is a challenging endeavor, particularly over long developmental periods. Accelerated longitudinal designs (ALD) allow capturing such periods with a limited number of assessments in a much shorter time framework. In ALDs, participants from different cohorts are measured repeatedly but the measures provided by each participant cover only a fraction of the time range of the study. It is then assumed that the common trajectory can be studied by aggregating the information provided by the different converging cohorts. We conducted a Monte Carlo study to evaluate the practical relevance of using discrete- and continuous-time latent change score models for recovering the trajectories of a developmental process from ALD data under different sampling conditions. We focused on exponential trajectories typically found in the development of cognitive abilities from childhood to early adulthood. The results support the appropriateness of ALD designs to study such processes under various conditions of sampling. When all cohorts are drawn from the same population, both discrete- and continuous-time models are able to recover the parameters defining the underlying developmental process. However, discrete-time models yield biased estimates when time lags between observations are not constant. When cohorts are not from the same population and, thus, lack convergence, both types of models show bias in various parameters. We discuss the findings in the context of developmental methodology, encourage researchers to adopt continuous time models to analyze data from ALDs, and provide recommendations about how to implement such research designs. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).
研究心理过程的时间相关课程是一项具有挑战性的任务,特别是在长期的发展阶段。加速纵向设计(ALD)允许在更短的时间框架内用有限数量的评估来捕捉这些阶段。在 ALD 中,来自不同队列的参与者被反复测量,但每个参与者提供的测量只涵盖了研究时间范围的一小部分。然后假设可以通过聚合来自不同汇聚队列的信息来研究共同的轨迹。我们进行了一项蒙特卡罗研究,以评估在不同抽样条件下,使用离散和连续时间潜在变化评分模型从 ALD 数据中恢复发展过程轨迹的实际意义。我们专注于指数轨迹,这些轨迹通常在认知能力从儿童期到成年早期的发展中发现。结果支持了在各种抽样条件下使用 ALD 设计研究这些过程的适当性。当所有队列都来自同一人群时,离散和连续时间模型都能够恢复定义潜在发展过程的参数。然而,当观察之间的时间滞后不恒定时,离散时间模型会产生有偏差的估计。当队列不是来自同一人群,因此缺乏收敛性时,两种类型的模型在各种参数中都显示出偏差。我们在发展方法学的背景下讨论了这些发现,鼓励研究人员采用连续时间模型来分析来自 ALD 的数据,并就如何实施此类研究设计提供建议。(心理学信息数据库记录(c)2019 APA,保留所有权利)。